Investor Sentiment – U.S. Market Greed/Fear Index The Greed and Fear Index now stands at 72.64, back in greed territory. While the current decline may have further to run, it still looks like a pullback within a broader uptrend. Image: Real Investment Advice
Fear & Greed Index – Investor Sentiment The S&P 500 is flirting with record highs, and with the Fear & Greed Index holding at a neutral 55, the market is not showing signs of excess just yet. Image: Cable News Network
NAAIM Exposure Index – Investor Sentiment At 86.82, the NAAIM Exposure Index shows active managers remain heavily invested in U.S. equities, reinforcing a bullish risk tone. The National Association of Active Investment Managers Exposure Index represents the two-week moving average exposure to U.S. equity markets reported by NAAIM members. Image: NAAIM
AAII Investor Sentiment Bull Minus Bear Spread The AAII bull-bear spread points to a balanced mood among U.S. retail investors who expect stock prices to decline in the near term—a condition that could set the stage for a sharper move in either direction. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 Ratio to Its 200-DMA and AAII Investor Sentiment Bull Minus Bear Spread Historically, very low investor sentiment has not only signaled caution but also suggested further upside in U.S. equities, offering opportunities for contrarian investors. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
AAII U.S. Investor Sentiment Bearish Readings While AAII U.S. investor pessimism has eased to a 20-week low, bearish sentiment remains modestly elevated relative to historical averages, indicating that caution lingers even as market conditions improve. Image: The Daily Shot
AAII U.S. Investor Sentiment Bearish Readings > 50 The current AAII U.S. Investor Sentiment Bearish reading of 58.9% marks the 7th consecutive week above 50%, aligning with the record streak observed in October 1990, which coincided with a major market low. Image: The Daily Shot
Investor Sentiment – S&P 500 and NAAIM Index Below 40 The NAAIM index dropping below 40 is often interpreted as active investment managers selling equities at market bottoms, signaling a potential short-term market bottom. Image: Real Investment Advice
Investor Sentiment – Fear & Frenzy Index Investor sentiment remains overly optimistic. Is it time to be cautious? Image: True Insights
Treasury Investor Sentiment Investor sentiment on Treasuries continues fall. Image: The Daily Shot
AAII Investor Sentiment Survey and S&P 500 Index Return The AAII investor sentiment is a useful contrarian indicator. Image: Jeroen Blokland