Search Results for: trade war

Trade War: U.S. State Exports to China The trade war is hurting exports to China across the U.S.. Image: Bloomberg

Trade War: Winners and Losers Chart showing the biggest winners and losers of imports to the U.S. in the past year. Image: Macrobond

Effect on U.S. GDP Growth from Financial Conditions, Fiscal Policy and Trade War Financial Conditions should offset the effect of the trade war in 2020. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

The Trade War Cycle The following picture helps to understand Trump’s trade war tactics. Image: StockCats

US-China Trade War and Past Major Trade Conflicts In the past, tariffs were in place for long periods of time. The US-China trade war is hitting global growth, by his importance, size and scope. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Trade War – Probability of a US-China Trade Deal The market-implied probability of a US-China trade deal rises to 40%. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Trade War Hitting Global Trade Hard US-China trade war is hurting Asia export hubs. Singapore is heading for a recession. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research

Trade War – Probability of a US-China Trade Deal The market-implied probability of a US-China trade deal rises to only 19%. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Trade War and Financial Conditions Index The trade war has tightened the Goldman Sachs FCI by about 60bp cumulatively. The Goldman Sachs Financial Conditions Index (FCI) is a weighted sum of a long-term corporate yield, a short-term bond yield, the exchange rate, and a stock market variable. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Effect of the Trade War on U.S. Real GDP Growth Assuming no futher escalation, the trade war drag on U.S. growth is expected to peak at about -0.4% in the second half of 2019. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research