Keyword: MOVE

VIX and MOVE Rolling Correlation Periods of high correlation between safe and risk assets are generally not good for balanced portfolios, because diversification is hard to find. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC

High Yield Credit Spread and Move Index Does higher rate credit volatility imply a widening of high-yield spreads? Image: Quill Intelligence, LLC

Heightened Correlations to U.S. Treasury Implied Volatility (MOVE) Followed by Higher Yields This chart suggests that balanced portfolios could suffer as U.S. Treasury yields generally rise after heightened correlation. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC

VIX and MOVE Correlation Periods of high correlation between VIX and MOVE are not good for balanced portfolios, because diversification is hard to find. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC

MOVE vs. Treasury Term Premium This chart shows the nice correlation between MOVE (implied volatility of U.S. Treasury markets) and the Treasury term premium. The term premium is the risk premium (or the bonus) that investors receive for the risk of owning longer-term bonds. Image: Longview Economics, Macrobond

MOVE, VIX and Rising Economic Uncertainty Markets are oddly calm despite rising economic uncertainty. Image: Financial Times

Investor Movement Index vs. S&P 500 The Investor Movement Index indicates the sentiment of TD Ameritrade retail investors. Thus, retail investors are net buyers of equities when the stock market is expensive, and they are net sellers of equities when the stock market is cheap. As usual, retail investors react to equity price movements. They buy and sell…

Number of Trading Days in a Bear Market (MSCI World Index) Stimulus and extremely low interest rates have moved global equities higher over past decade. Image: Financial Times

Big-Data Analysis of the U.S. Business Cycle and NBER Recession Chart showing that the short-sample indicator improved and moved into the “Boom” regime last November. Image: BofA Global Research

Percentage of S&P 500 Stocks Above 200-Day Moving Average Chart suggesting that a move above 80% for the percentage of stocks above 200-day moving average would provide bullish confirmation. Image: BofA Global Research