S&P 500 Around the End of Fed Tightening

S&P 500 Around the End of Fed Tightening As the chart shows, the S&P 500 has performed well on average, around the end of Fed tightening. You may also like “S&P 500 Performance Around Previous Fed Cuts.” Image: Morphic Asset Management Pty Ltd

Interest Rates – Fed Funds Rate

Interest Rates – Fed Funds Rate Should investors prepare for more tightening than expected? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Real GDP vs. Real Fed Funds Rate

Real GDP vs. Real Fed Funds Rate One of our most favorite charts is the real GDP vs. the real Fed funds rate (adjusted for inflation). Historically, recessions begin when the real Fed Funds rate exceeds GDP growth. We are far from that today. So, this cycle should not end any time soon. Real Fed…

Real Fed Funds Rate

Real Fed Funds Rate Real Fed funds rate is a key indicative factor, because it’s a very good measure of how tight or loose monetary policy is. Real Fed funds rate is the “true cost” of borrowing money. Recessions have always been preceded by a substantial tightening of monetary policy, which, in real terms, matter…