Search Results for: AAII

AAII U.S. Investor Sentiment Bull – Bear Spread The AAII U.S. investor sentiment bull-bear spread continues to signal sustained pessimism among individual investors. Image: The Daily Shot

AAII U.S. Investor Sentiment Bearish Readings > 50 The current AAII U.S. Investor Sentiment Bearish reading of 58.9% marks the 7th consecutive week above 50%, aligning with the record streak observed in October 1990, which coincided with a major market low. Image: The Daily Shot

S&P 500 Performance After AAII Bears Above 50% Five Straight Weeks Historically, when bearish sentiment in the AAII poll surpasses 50% for five straight weeks, U.S. stocks have shown an average return of 21% over the next 12 months, with positive returns occurring 100% of the time since 1990. Image: Carson Investment Research

Combined AAII & II Sentiment For contrarian investors, the current bearish sentiment indicated from the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) and Investors Intelligence (II) surveys could signal a potential bullish opportunity. Image: Topdown Charts

AAII – U.S. Retail Investors Allocation to Stocks, Bonds and Cash High equity allocations and low cash positions don’t always mean a market reversal is near. However, they suggest that much of the market’s potential gains may already be priced in, as investors have heavily committed to equities. Image: Real Investment Advice

AAII Investor Sentiment Bull Minus Bear Spread The AAII investor sentiment bull minus bear spread, which is in the 91th percentile, raises legitimate concerns that the market may be overheating. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

Correlation Between AAII Bull-Bear Spread and S&P 500 Returns The AAII bull-bear spread may not necessarily be a reliable predictor of future S&P 500 returns. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy

AAII Total Stock Allocation vs. FMS Net % Overwieght Equities Asset allocators are cautious and still underweight equities. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

AAII Bullish Sentiment Individual investor sentiment must improve significantly if the current uptrend in U.S. stock prices is more than just a typical bear market rally. Image: BofA Global Research

Sentiment – 52-Week S&P 500 Forward Return and AAII Survey Bulls Minus Bears Historically, when investor sentiment is very bearish, there is often a bounce in the stock market. Image: Richardson Wealth

AAII Survey – Average S&P 500 Returns After % of Bullish Investors Dropped Below 20% The AAII Bullish Sentiment is below 20%, which is contrarian bullish. Image: Truist