AAII Bullish Sentiment 2009-2020

AAII Bullish Sentiment 2009-2020 Optimism among individual investors is now the highest since October 2018. Image: Bespoke Investment Group

U.S. AAII Sentiment Survey and S&P 500

U.S. AAII Sentiment Survey and S&P 500 This chart shows that market sentiment is important to contrarian investors. Image: Pictet Asset Management

Weekly AAII Investor Sentiment Survey

Weekly AAII Investor Sentiment Survey Bulls push above bears, but when doubt and fear are still present, it does not usually look like a major market top. Image: Reuters

Can History Help Us Predict the Future of the S&P 500?

Can History Help Us Predict the Future of the S&P 500? When the S&P 500 hits all-time high and AAII Investor Sentiment Survey bulls is below 35%, then 88% of the time the S&P 500 is positive one year later (1986-2019). Image: SentimenTrader