Fed Rate Cuts and Business Cycle

Fed Rate Cuts and Business Cycle Similar Fed rate cuts in the 1990s should be enough to prolong the business cycle, and should be positive for stocks. Image: LPL Financial LLC

Average S&P 500 Performance Following 3rd Fed Rate Cut

Average S&P 500 Performance Following 3rd Fed Rate Cut In the Fed rate cutting cycle, the chart shows the average S&P 500 performance following a 3rd Fed rate cut, with less than two additional cuts, and two or more additional cuts. Image: Strategas

Dow Jones Industrial Average Around Second Fed Rate Cut

Dow Jones Industrial Average Around Second Fed Rate Cut This chart shows that a second rate cut has been bullish. On average, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has gained 19% over the next 12 months. Image: Ned Davis Research

Fed Rate Cut vs. ISM Manufacturing Index and ISM Non-Manufacturing Index

Fed Rate Cut vs. ISM Manufacturing Index and ISM Non-Manufacturing Index Since 1997, when the ISM Manufacturing Index is below 50 and the ISM Non-Manufacturing Index is above 52, the Fed is less aggressive, with about 68bp of easing on average. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Fed Rate Cuts Priced In and Recession

Fed Rate Cuts Priced In and Recession Insurance cuts or recessionary cuts? It usually doesn’t end well, when the bond market begins to price in more than three rate cuts over the next 6 months. Image: Societe Generale Cross Asset Research

U.S. Equities – One Year Return After a Fed Rate Cut

U.S. Equities – One Year Return After a Fed Rate Cut The chart shows how U.S. equities have historically performed after a 25 bps and 50 bps Fed rate cut over the last 35 years. You may also like “First Fed Rate Cut.” Image: Ycharts