U.S. Equities – One Year Return After a Fed Rate Cut

U.S. Equities – One Year Return After a Fed Rate Cut The chart shows how U.S. equities have historically performed after a 25 bps and 50 bps Fed rate cut over the last 35 years. You may also like “First Fed Rate Cut.” Picture source: Ycharts

S&P 500 After Initial Fed Rate Cuts Outside Of Recession

S&P 500 After Initial Fed Rate Cuts Outside Of Recession When the Fed cuts rates without a recession, the S&P 500 Index tends to go higher. Average gain since 1984: +11.1% six months later and 15.8% twelve months later. Picture source: LPL Financial LLC

Fed Rate Cuts Boost Consumer Spending

Fed Rate Cuts Boost Consumer Spending The chart shows real PCE around first Fed rate cut: recession vs. no recession. Fed rate cuts are more effective during a recession. Picture source: Ned Davis Research

S&P 500 Dividend Payers / Non-Payers Around First Fed Rate Cut

S&P 500 Dividend Payers / Non-Payers Around First Fed Rate Cut The chart shows that S&P 500 dividend payers have outperformed non-payers around the first Fed rate cut and 12 months later, because they are more attractive than bonds. Picture source: Ned Davis Research

First Fed Rate Cut

First Fed Rate Cut History tells us that a first 25-bps rate cut is bullish, while a first 50-bps rate cut is bearish. You may also like “U.S. Equities – One Year Return After a Fed Rate Cut.” Picture source: Ari Wald