U.S. Government Total Outlays U.S. federal government spending has risen sharply since the 2020s, sparking debates about fiscal responsibility and the long-term implications for the U.S. economy. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
ISM Manufacturing PMI and Global Stocks vs. Government Bonds In a potential shift from a “no” to a “hard” landing scenario, government bonds may outperform due to increased risk aversion, interest rate cuts, lower inflation expectations, and their historical performance during economic downturns. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
U.S. 30-Year Government Bond Returns The 30-year U.S. Treasury bond is currently experiencing a challenging period in terms of its annual return, as it is on track for the 3rd worst annual return since 1919. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
U.S. Coporate vs. Government Bond Returns Since March 2020, U.S. corporate bonds have significantly outperformed government bonds. Will this trend continue in the coming months? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
U.S. Long-Term Government Bond Returns The 10-year annualized return from U.S. Treasuries is at a 65-year low of just 0.6%, prompting investors to reassess portfolio allocation and risk management strategies. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Global Government Debt Global government debt has skyrocketed since the global financial crisis, reaching its highest level in peacetime and posing significant challenges and vulnerabilities for governments and economies worldwide. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
U.S. Government Spending as % of GDP U.S. government spending as a share of GDP is expected to increase significantly over the next decade. This could potentially have substantial consequences for the long-term stability of the economy. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
U.S. Nominal GDP Less Government Budget Deficit While fiscal spending in the United States has the potential to boost GDP growth, it is important to carefully consider the long-term implications and trade-offs associated with such policies. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
U.S. 10-Year Government Bond Annual Returns Never before has the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond experienced three consecutive years of annual declines. Is this time different? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
S&P 500 Performance During Government Shutdowns Historically, government shutdowns have not had a significant impact on the U.S. stock market. Image: Carson Investment Research