Seasonality – S&P 500 Index Average Monthly Returns February’s returns may be flat, but the ride rarely is, making it one of the market’s more unpredictable stretches for U.S. stocks. Image: Carson Investment Research
Seasonality – Monthly Return Stats for the S&P 500 February has a history of flat returns but plenty of drama, earning its reputation as one of the market’s trickier months for investors. Image: Topdown Charts
S&P 500 – Seasonality During Bull vs. Bear Markets (Midterm Election Years Only) Bull markets don’t offer immunity. U.S. midterm election years tend to bring choppier trading and elevated volatility for the S&P 500 until late in the year. Image: Topdown Charts
Seasonality – S&P 500 Cycle Composite for 2026 The S&P 500 Cycle Composite is flagging 2026 as a bullish but choppy year, and for now, the market is playing along with that seasonal script. Image: Ned Davis Research
S&P 500 Seasonality While seasonality in the S&P 500 always tells a story, midterm years rank as the weakest in the four-year presidential cycle but still deliver positive returns more often than not. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Seasonal Composite 4 Year Presidential Election Cycle In 2024 and 2025, the S&P 500 danced to the beat of the four-year election cycle. Is 2026 when the music changes? Image: Nautilus Research
Seasonality – S&P 500 Index Returns in December As the holidays approach, buyers usually return and the year-end rally tends to pick up speed in the second half of December. Historically, U.S. stocks have climbed an average of 1.4% during the month. Image: Carson Investment Research
Seasonality – Average Daily Performance of the S&P 500 After October 27, retail optimism, corporate buybacks, and institutional repositioning can inject fresh energy into U.S. markets. For many traders, it’s the unofficial start of the year-end run. Image: Deutsche Bank
S&P 500 Index – Seasonal 3-Month Forward Return Historically, this is go-time for the S&P 500. If past trends hold, the next three months could deliver some of the index’s strongest cumulative gains. Image: Renaissance Macro Research
S&P 500 Seasonality If history is any guide, the S&P 500 is heading into its seasonally strong window, with October through December typically delivering the market’s best performance of the year. Image: Topdown Charts
VIX Seasonality Volatility flare-ups aren’t uncommon this time of year, as political risk and trade tensions bubble back to the surface, sending ripples of anxiety through global markets. Image: Topdown Charts