U.S. Misery Index (Unemployment Rate + Core Inflation) The misery index is an economic indicator, created by economist Arthur Okun. Because both inflation and unemployment are very low, the U.S. misery index (unemployment rate + core inflation) is approaching all-time low. That’s good news for Americans, because it brings stability to the life of the…
U.S. Business Cycle: Private Non-farm Employment, Corporate Profits and Employee Compensation This chart highlights the decline in corporate profits and rising wages, one characteristic of the late stage of the business cycle. Image: Fidelity Investments
U.S. Employment Rate 55+ The U.S. employment rate of older workers is increasing in a long-term trend. Image: Ernie Tedeschi
Business Cycle – U.S. Output Gap and Unemployment Rate Chart suggesting that the US economy has slipped into the late stage of the business cycle. Image: Quill Intelligence, LLC
Stall Probability by Scenario for U.S. Payroll Employment Chart suggesting that stall risks rise considerably and could intensify with greater deceleration in payroll employment in 2020. Image: Barclays Research
U.S. Consumer Confidence and U.S. Unemployment A tight U.S. labor market and low interest rates should continue to support U.S. consumer confidence and spending. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Consumer Confidence Leads U.S. Unemployment Chart suggesting that U.S. consumer confidence leads U.S. unemployment by three months. Image: Pictet Wealth Management
U.S. New Heavy Truck Sales Lead U.S. Unemployment Rate Chart suggesting that U.S. new heavy truck sales lead the U.S. unemployment rate by 7 months. Image: Pictet Wealth Management
U.S. State Unemployment Rates The unemployment rate is increasing in some states. Image: The Wall Street Journal
U.S. Employment Six charts suggesting that U.S. employment may weaken (correlation greater than 0.87). Image: Paolo Cardena
