U.S. Economic Cycles Since 1854

U.S. Economic Cycles Since 1854 This chart puts into perspective the current U.S. economic cycle. Picture source: Societe Generale Cross Asset Research

The Credit Cycle Is Leading the Economic Cycle

The Credit Cycle Is Leading the Economic Cycle This great chart shows that an economic slowdows risk is rising. When delinquency rates on consumer loans reach a low, there’s a high probability of a recession on the horizon. Picture source: Deutsche Bank Global Research

U.S. Economic Expansions

U.S. Economic Expansions The current business cycle is the longest expansion, but it’s also the weakest. Picture source: The Wall Street Journal

Strength of Economic Expansions

Strength of Economic Expansions The current business cycle is the longest expansion, but it’s also the weakest. Picture Source: ClearBridge Investments

VIX & Yield Curve Cycle Since 2007

VIX & Yield Curve Cycle Since 2007 This chart also shows that we are in a late business cycle. The spread between the 30-year and the 3-month treasury yields is one of the most interesting spreads to watch. In recent history, a recession occurs about 12 to 18 months after the yield curve inverts. Picture…

Treasury Options and Yield Curve Cycle Since 2007

Treasury Options and Yield Curve Cycle Since 2007 This great chart shows that we are in a late business cycle. The spread between the 30-year and the 3-month treasury yields is one of the most interesting spreads to watch. In recent history, a recession occurs about 12 to 18 months after the yield curve inverts.…