S&P 500 Profit Margin – Operating Earnings/Sales S&P 500’s profit margins for 2025 face significant risks from tariffs and rising import costs, which could undermine the current optimistic consensus forecasts. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management
S&P 500 Trailing 4-Quarter Net Profit Margin (Excluding Financials) The S&P 500 net profit margins are at high levels. As AI adoption accelerates, it’s likely to have a transformative impact on profit margins across various industries, with the technology sector at the forefront of this trend. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Magnificent Seven Stocks vs. Unprofitable Tech The Magnificent 7’s market dominance may be waning, at least in the short-term, as unprofitable tech stocks have recently outperformed these tech giants, indicating a broader market expansion. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Profit Margin Profit margin growth in the S&P 500 is broadening, extending beyond mega-caps and the tech sector. This trend is expected to continue in 2025, indicating a healthier and more diverse market outlook. Image: Societe Generale Cross Asset Research
Cumulative Change in Real S&P 500 and Real Profits The widening gap between the real S&P 500 index and real corporate profits is raising red flags about a potential stock market bubble. Image: Real Investment Advice
EPS Growth – Political Party and S&P 500 Profits Cycle While election results can impact markets in the short term, the underlying profitability of companies is a stronger driver of stock prices over time. Image: BofA US Equity & US Quant Strategy
Share of U.S. Corporate Profits from Foreign Markets Foreign markets, including emerging markets, significantly contribute to the profits of U.S. corporations. Specifically, they account for 16% of U.S. corporate profits, with emerging markets making up 4% of these profits. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
FMS Investors – Net % Say Global Profits Will Improve vs. ISM Manufacturing New Orders/Inventories There is a growing belief among FMS investors that global profits will improve in the future, which is encouraging. Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey
FMS Investors and Profit Expectations FMS global profit expectations are now more optimistic than they have been since February 2022. Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey
MSCI All Countries vs. Median Profit Margin All Countries Will global corporate profitability improve in the coming quarters? Image: Topdown Charts
U.S. PPI Less U.S. CPI vs. S&P 500 12-Month Forward Profit Margin Are margins at risk, as they tend to be correlated with the spread between PPI and CPI? Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management