S&P 500 Quarterly Net Profit Margin (Ex. Financials & Energy) Consensus forecasts indicate that S&P 500 profit margins will remain near record highs in 2025, supported by steady earnings growth and strong economic expansion. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
After-Tax Nonfinancial Corporate Profits as Share of Gross Value Added While U.S. corporate profits fell in Q1 2025 due to higher costs and economic uncertainty, they remain historically high, reflecting both the strength and the vulnerability of large companies in the current economic climate. Image: Bloomberg
Profit Margins within S&P 500 Names Profit margins in the S&P 500 are elevated. As AI adoption accelerates, it is likely to have a transformative impact on profit margins across industries, with the tech sector leading this trend. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Profit Margin – Operating Earnings/Sales Structural changes in the market—such as the rise of high-margin sectors like technology, economies of scale, and favorable financial conditions for large-cap firms—have driven elevated profit margins in the S&P 500. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management
Magnificent Seven Stocks vs. Unprofitable Tech The Magnificent 7’s market dominance may be waning, at least in the short-term, as unprofitable tech stocks have recently outperformed these tech giants, indicating a broader market expansion. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Profit Margin Profit margin growth in the S&P 500 is broadening, extending beyond mega-caps and the tech sector. This trend is expected to continue in 2025, indicating a healthier and more diverse market outlook. Image: Societe Generale Cross Asset Research
Cumulative Change in Real S&P 500 and Real Profits The widening gap between the real S&P 500 index and real corporate profits is raising red flags about a potential stock market bubble. Image: Real Investment Advice
EPS Growth – Political Party and S&P 500 Profits Cycle While election results can impact markets in the short term, the underlying profitability of companies is a stronger driver of stock prices over time. Image: BofA US Equity & US Quant Strategy
Share of U.S. Corporate Profits from Foreign Markets Foreign markets, including emerging markets, significantly contribute to the profits of U.S. corporations. Specifically, they account for 16% of U.S. corporate profits, with emerging markets making up 4% of these profits. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
FMS Investors – Net % Say Global Profits Will Improve vs. ISM Manufacturing New Orders/Inventories There is a growing belief among FMS investors that global profits will improve in the future, which is encouraging. Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey
FMS Investors and Profit Expectations FMS global profit expectations are now more optimistic than they have been since February 2022. Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey