U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield – Daily Chart

U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield – Daily Chart With inflationary pressures persisting and the economy showing signs of robust expansion, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has the potential to go higher. Image: BofA Global Research

MOVE – U.S. Treasury Volatility Index

MOVE – U.S. Treasury Volatility Index The cooling of U.S. rates volatility, as measured by the MOVE index, can be seen as a positive development for the bond market and the broader economy. Image: BofA Predictive Analytics

U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yields Forecast

U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yields Forecast Goldman Sachs forecasts the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield at 4.00% by the end of 2024, which differs very slightly from the expectations of the futures market. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield – Weekly Chart

U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield – Weekly Chart BofA expects the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to rise to 4.25%-4.5% in Q1 or H1, before falling back to 3.25% by the end of 2024. Image: BofA Global Research

10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Macro Fair Value

10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Macro Fair Value BofA’s macroeconomic framework indicates a fair value for the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield of 4.1%. Image: BofA Global Research

U.S. Rates – 2-Year and 10-Year Treasury Yield Forecasts

U.S. Rates – 2-Year and 10-Year Treasury Yield Forecasts BofA still forecasts the 10-year UST yield at 4.25% and the 2-year UST yield at 4.00% by year-end 2024, suggesting the possibility of a downward trend in borrowing costs. Image: BofA Global Research

Consecutive Trading Days of Inverted 10Y-2Y U.S. Treasury Yield Curve

Consecutive Trading Days of Inverted 10Y-2Y U.S. Treasury Yield Curve The anticipation of Fed easing is being driven by the aging of yield curve inversion. Market participants are expecting the Fed to cut rates in order to stimulate economic growth and prevent a potential recession. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield

10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Since the Global Financial Crisis, there have been only two other occasions where the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has experienced such a rapid decline, underscoring the exceptional nature of the current situation. Image: Deutsche Bank

S&P 500 vs. U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield

S&P 500 vs. 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Since August 2023, there has been a strong correlation between the S&P 500 index and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield, which has been a significant factor in shaping market dynamics and investment strategies in recent months. Image: Deutsche Bank