Keyword: market valuation

U.S. Market Valuation Chart suggesting that the U.S. stock market seems expensive in a number of ways. Image: Paolo Cardena

Emerging Market Valuations Chart suggesting that emerging market valuations are not cheap for bargain investors. Image: J.P. Morgan

Why the Stock Market Valuation Matters Before a Recession? When the stock market is VERY overvalued before a recession, it tends to be VERY undervalued. Like the swing of a pendulum, or the stretching of a rubber band, sooner or later it comes back very violently. This happened in 1973, 2000 and 2008. The US…

Valuation – Apple Market Capitalization and S&P 500 Energy Apple is now worth more than the U.S. energy sector. Image: Financial Times

U.S. Market – Earnings, Valuation and Equity Risk Premium This chart shows that the P/E ratio is above average, but the equity risk premium is relatively high. Image: Fidelity Investments

U.S. Stock Market – Earnings and Valuation The valuation is high relative to history, but not near historical extremes. The U.S. stock market should remain under pressure until Q3 earnings season. Image: Fidelity Investments

Valuation – U.S. Stock Market Capitalization-to-GDP The U.S. stock market capitalization-to-GDP is a general gauge of market valuation, but it’s not very useful for short-term market timing. Image: Bloomberg

Leon Cooperman: Bull Market Cycles Don’t End at Fair Valuation, They Ended at Overvaluation “There is still more room for the market to run. We have a slowdown but not a recession and the market is ok.” Leon Cooperman (Omega Advisors founder) is a great value investor. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xz6ihkuW1AM

Earnings, Dividends and Valuation Considering earnings growth slowing, dividends and valuation, the U.S. stock market should remain under pressure until Q4 earnings season. Image: Fidelity Investments