Performance – Ratio of Russell 2000 Index to Nasdaq Composite Small-cap stocks are currently at a record low relative to the Nasdaq Composite. Factors that could drive small-cap stocks to outperform include a rise in M&A and IPOs, robust earnings growth, and changes in interest rates. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
S&P 500 – Russell 2000 (Small Caps) Outperforms Russell 1000 (Large Caps) by 3% of More Historically, when small caps have outperformed large caps by 3% of more, the S&P 500 has been higher a year later in every instance, with an average gain of 32% since 1979. Image: Carson Investment Research
Small Cap Stocks – Relationship Between Relative Fwd P/E of Russell 2000 vs. Russell 1000 and Subsequent 10-Year Annualized Relative Returns For long-term investors, periods when small-cap stocks are trading at a significant discount to large-cap stocks may offer attractive investment opportunities. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
Valuation – Relative Forward P/E: Russell 2000 vs. Russell 1000 For long-term investors looking to diversify their investment portfolios, small-caps may be an attractive option as they offer relatively cheaper valuations compared to large-caps. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
Valuation – Russell 2000 Forward P/E The April sell-off has brought the U.S. small-cap forward P/E ratio back below the historical average, suggesting a potential undervaluation of small-cap stocks and creating buying opportunities for long-term investors. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
Russell 2000 Forward P/E vs. Subsequent 10-Year Annualized Returns Should long-term investors increase their allocation to U.S. small-cap stocks, given the potential for 9% annualized ten-year returns suggested by the absolute forward P/E for the Russell 2000? Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
Valuation – Relative Forward P/E of Russell 1000 Value vs. Growth Indices The relative multiple between Value and Growth remains significantly low. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
Russell 2000 Technology Sector Relative to Total Index U.S. small-cap technology stocks have exhibited a noteworthy level of outperformance within the universe of U.S. small-cap stocks, which can be attributed to higher growth potential and the ability to innovate and disrupt traditional industries. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
Modeled Forward Russell 2000 Returns Conditional on Coincident Real U.S. GDP Growth The performance of small-cap stocks is linked to economic conditions. Weak U.S. economic growth may affect their returns, while strong growth offers potential for solid returns. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Small-Caps – Trailing 12-Month Russell 2000 Return Goldman Sachs expects the Russell 2000 small-cap index to return 15% in the next 12 months, which suggests a positive outlook for small-cap stocks. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research