Prediction for U.S. GDP Growth from Q42020 to Q42021

Prediction for U.S. GDP Growth from Q42020 to Q42021 32 leading academic economists do not see significantly higher GDP growth under Donald Trump or Joe Biden, as long as the current control of Congress remains the same. Image: BofA

Prediction Market Probability That Democrats Have Control Following 2020 Election

Prediction Market Probability That Democrats Have Control Following 2020 Election According to Goldman Sachs, the odds of a “blue wave” in November have risen and could lift the effective S&P 500 tax rate from 18% back to 26%, reducing the 2021 EPS forecast from $170 to $150. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Prediction for Near-Term S&P 500 Downside to 2,000

Prediction for Near-Term S&P 500 Downside to 2,000 Goldman Sachs suggests that equity markets are unlikely to make new lows, if the U.S. doesn’t have a second surge in infections after the economy reopens. The year-end S&P 500 target remains 3,000. Image: Bloomberg

Tesla vs. The 2000 Internet Bubble

Tesla vs. The 2000 Internet Bubble While investors are betting on Tesla’s success, this chart is not a prediction on where Tesla stock is heading. Image: Nordea and Macrobond

Why the US Stock Market Was Overvalued by 14.2% on Oct. 1, 2018 vs. 7.7% Today?

Why the US Stock Market Was Overvalued by 14.2% on Oct. 1, 2018 vs. 7.7% Today? Because the value of the forecast changes over time (blue dotted line). The US stock market short-term forecast (S&P 500 with dividends reinvested) for the next 12 months is available to our subscribers. This great prediction model is updated daily.…