Inflation – U.S. CPI Forecasts
Inflation – U.S. CPI Forecasts If the Federal Reserve is done with rate hikes, the U.S. headline CPI is expected to remain well above the Fed’s 2% inflation target. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Inflation – U.S. CPI Forecasts If the Federal Reserve is done with rate hikes, the U.S. headline CPI is expected to remain well above the Fed’s 2% inflation target. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Inflation – Potential Paths for Core CPI Will U.S. core CPI remain well above the Fed’s 2% inflation target, if the Federal Reserve is done? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Flexible and Sticky Inflation Sticky inflation (core services) is still declining and flexible inflation (core goods) has fallen significantly. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis
Inflation – U.S. Core CPI Goldman Sachs forecasts that U.S. core CPI will be 3.0% in December 2024. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
M2 Money Supply and CPI Inflation The big decline in the money supply growth is one of the factors contributing to the contraction of U.S. inflation. Image: Real Investment Advice
Oil Price vs. U.S. 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate The correlation between oil prices and U.S. breakeven inflation rates is strong. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Contributions to Core PCE Inflation U.S. core PCE inflation forecasts suggest that the Fed’s first rate cut could take place in 2024 Q2. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Inflation – U.S. 5-Year, 5-Year Forward Breakeven Rate U.S. bond market expectations for inflation are rising again, which is not good news. Image: The Daily Shot
Inflation – U.S. Core PCE and Core CPI Goldman Sachs forecasts a significant decline in U.S. core PCE and core CPI. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Contributions to Year-on-Year Headline CPI Inflation Goldman Sachs expects U.S. headline CPI inflation to slow to 2.9% by the end of 2023. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research