Capex as % of Cash Flow from Operations All signs point to hyperscalers reinvesting nearly all operating cash flow into capex, a tailwind for infrastructure suppliers but a potential headwind for equity returns if free cash flow fails to recover. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Consensus Hyperscaler Capex Estimates Hyperscaler capex is on track to reach $914 billion by 2028. At that scale, this no longer looks like a typical tech cycle. It starts to resemble a structural shift that reshapes the entire landscape. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Hyperscaler Capex Hyperscaler capex is on track for $755 billion this year, rising to $892 billion by 2027. At that scale, this looks less like a typical tech cycle and more like something structurally bigger. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Hyperscaler Quarterly Capex Growth Over the next few quarters, hyperscalers are set to slow capex growth, which could drag on valuations while leaving them more vulnerable in the supply-strained battle for AI leadership. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Global Quarterly Tech Capex Growth Tech investment has surged in recent years, but the underlying rhythm hasn’t changed: global tech capex has grown 14.6% annually since 2013, right in line with its decade‑long trend. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Hyperscaler Capex Hyperscalers are on pace to spend $4 trillion on capex by 2030, more than ten times what the Apollo program cost in today’s dollars, a bet that leaves little room for error. Image: Bloomberg
Hyperscaler Capex by Company Goldman Sachs is turning more bullish on hyperscaler spending, hiking its CAPEX outlook after 3Q25 results showed a wave of AI‑ and cloud‑fueled infrastructure growth. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Magnificent 7 Annual Capex Spend The Magnificent 7’s capital expenditure is projected to grow by 31% to $331 billion in 2025, followed by a 10% increase to $363 billion in 2026, underscoring the Magnificent 7’s focus on long-term growth and innovation. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
CEO Confidence vs. U.S. Business Capex Weak CEO confidence does not bode well for capex. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond
Oil Prices and Consensus Capex Could oil capex cuts lead to supply disruptions? Image: Morgan Stanley Research
U.S. Core Capital Goods Shipment and Non-residential Business Fixed Investment (Capex) Is the “phase one” US-China trade deal enough to reverse the slowdown? Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research