Federal Reserve Broad Real Effective Trade-Weighted Dollar Both historical trends and current economic indicators suggest that the U.S. dollar is entering a period of decline. Structural fiscal challenges, policy uncertainty, and cyclical patterns all point to further weakness ahead. Image: Bloomberg
The Federal Reserve and Financial Crisis While the current rate hiking cycle hasn’t caused widespread financial crises yet, it’s premature to say it’s entirely different. The Fed must carefully balance controlling inflation, achieving maximum employment, and ensuring financial stability. Image: Real Investment Advice
U.S. Federal Debt and Federal Reserve Balance Sheet Are the Federal Reserve balance sheet and the U.S. federal debt on the way to the moon? Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 and Last Hike in Federal Reserve Bank Rate Hiking Cycles The last Fed rate hike is not necessarily bearish for U.S. stocks over the next 12 months. Image: Carson Investment Research
Forecast – Federal Reserve Balance Sheet Should investors expect a higher terminal Fed balance sheet? Image: BofA Global Research
Interest Rates – S&P 500 Index and Federal Reserve Bank Rate Hikes per Year Historically, if the U.S. economy isn’t in a recession, the S&P 500 tends to do well during Fed rate hikes. Image: LPL Research
S&P 500 and the Start of the Federal Reserve’s Last Three Rate-Hike Cycles Should U.S. equity investors really fear rising interest rates? Image: CNBC
U.S. Dollar and Federal Reserve – ECB Shadow Rate Spread Is the U.S. dollar finding a support, as it tends to track the Fed – ECB shadow rate spread? Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC
Federal Reserve Bank of New York Weekly Ecocomic Index and U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield While the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield tends to follow the direction of macroeconomic indicators, it has decoupled from fundamentals. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
Federal Reserve Balance Sheet as Percent of Total U.S. Market Capitalization Don’t fight the Fed? The Fed’s balance sheet could peak at US$9 trillion in 2022. Image: Lohman Econometrics
Rates – 10-Year U.S. Breakeven Rate and Federal Reserve 10-Year U.S. Real Rate Should investors be worried about the risk of rising U.S. real rates? Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management