Positions in S&P 500 Equity Futures by Asset Managers Even with the recent rally and record highs in US equities, asset managers’ positions in U.S. equity futures are still lower than they were at the beginning of the year. Image: J.P. Morgan
Asset Class Returns Diversified portfolios demonstrated strong resilience during the U.S. stock market drawdowns in the first half of 2025 by cushioning losses and providing more stable returns. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management
U.S. Households’ (Incl. Hedge Fund) Asset Allocation U.S. households are currently heavily overweight in equities relative to fixed income, reflecting strong conviction in U.S. equity markets despite ongoing economic uncertainties and cautious positioning in bonds. Image: Deutsche Bank
Monthly Flow of G4 Central Bank Asset Purchases Global central banks are continuing to reduce their asset holdings at a robust pace, primarily through balance sheet runoff and measured non-reinvestment of maturing securities. Image: Deutsche Bank
Equities as a Share of Household Assets U.S. households now allocate about 49% of their assets to equities, a level that reflects strong market optimism and a significant appetite for risk. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Aggregate Financial Asset Allocation Among Households, Mutual Funds, Pension Funds, and Foreign Investors With investor allocation to equities at an all-time high, the market is increasingly vulnerable to volatility and significant losses, particularly if a downturn occurs. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Money Market Fund Assets as a Percent of S&P 500 Market Capitalization Despite record levels of cash in money market funds, cash on the sidelines is not elevated relative to the S&P 500 market capitalization. In fact, the ratio of money market funds assets to S&P 500 market cap is near historic lows. Image: J.P.…
Money Market Fund Assets While the $7 trillion in money market funds is frequently cited as potential fuel for equities and risk assets, most evidence suggests this cash is primarily a result of yield optimization and prudent cash management. Image: Bloomberg
Probability of U.S. Recession As Priced Across Asset Classes The S&P 500 is pricing in about a 25% chance of a recession, which is lower than signals from copper prices or the yield curve, but higher than the recession probabilities implied by global equities or high-yield credit markets. Analysts often use the current percentage change…
Total Returns for a Selection of Major Global Financial Assets since the U.S. Election Since Inauguration Day, U.S. stocks have significantly underperformed major global financial assets, largely due to trade tensions, policy uncertainty, and a notable shift in investor sentiment toward international markets. Image: Deutsche Bank
Gold vs. Other Asset Total Returns A performance rotation from stocks to gold is emerging. This may signal the beginning of a broader shift, as Trump’s efforts to weaken the dollar and lower rates coincide with a deteriorating outlook for equities. Image: Topdown Charts