U.S. Market Cycle Indicators Chart suggesting that the current business cycle’s end is not imminent in the U.S.. The risk of a bear market is low when the number of market cycle indicators is greater than 10. Image: Richardson GMP
U.S. Business Cycle Indicator in Repair Phase Morgan Stanley’s cyclical indicator remains in the “repair” phase. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Monthly S&P 500 Seasonality for Presidential Cycle Year 1 Is June a boring month for the stock market? S&P 500 seasonality shows that April, May and July are strong months in Presidential cycle year 1. Image: BofA Global Research
S&P 500 Average Across Market Cycles Since 1973 This chart puts into perspective the typical phases of the U.S. equity market since 1973. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Economic Cycle – U.S. Economic Expansion Economic cycles of growth can last many years, with an average of more than five years. Image: LPL Financial LLC
Cycle – U.S. Regime Indicator According to BofA, the current mid-cycle could extend at least into the summer and potentially beyond. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
Current Value Cycle vs. Historic Value Cycles Historically, Value cycle tends to last 33 months and Value tends to outperform Growth by about 60% on average. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
S&P 500 6-Month Seasonal Returns and Percentage of Time Up – Presidential Cycle Year 1 into Presidential Cycle Year 2 Historically, the S&P 500 has the highest 6-month return from March through August in Presidential cycle year 1. Image: BofA Global Research
IPO Activity and Market Cycle IPO activity tends to be slow in the early phases of a new bull market, but that’s not the case today. Image: Richardson Wealth
S&P 500 Index Quarterly Returns Based on the Four-Year Presidential Cycle Historically, during a post-election year, S&P 500 returns tend to be positive in Q2. Image: LPL Financial LLC