Search Results for: cycle

Late Cycle – U.S. Regimes The U.S. stock market rally may be at risk in the late cycle phase. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy

S&P 500 6-Month Seasonal Returns and Percentage of Time Up – Presidential Cycle Year 1 into Presidential Cycle Year 2 From Presidential cycle year 1 into Presidential cycle year 2, the S&P 500 has historically done poorly from September through February. Image: BofA Global Research

U.S. Cycle – Spread Between Conference Board Consumer Confidence and UMich Surveys Morgan Stanley expects a “mid-cycle transition”, with a 10%-plus correction for the U.S. stock market. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

Monthly S&P 500 Seasonality for Presidential Cycle Year 1 S&P 500 seasonality shows that September has been challenging in Presidential cycle year 1. Image: BofA Global Research

Commodities – Commodity Super Cycles The current commodity cycle is still in its infancy, as commodity bull markets tend to last for years. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Market Cycle Indicators Chart suggesting that the current business cycle’s end is not imminent in the U.S.. The risk of a bear market is low when the number of market cycle indicators is greater than 10. Image: Richardson GMP

Returns – S&P 500 Four Year Presidential Cycle Is there a risk of a market correction? The S&P 500 is entering what has historically been a period of weakness. Image: BofA Global Research

Performance – Early Cycle Sectors Relative to S&P 500 Should investors continue to underweight early cycle sectors during the mid cycle transition? Image: Morgan Stanley Research

S&P 500 3-Month Seasonality Returns and Percentage of Time Up – Presidential Cycle Year 1 S&P 500 seasonality is more bearish in Presidential cycle year 1, from late summer into the fall. Image: BofA Global Research

U.S. Business Cycle – Cross-Asset Cycle Indicator The Morgan Stanley’s cyclical indicator is now in the expansion phase. Image: Morgan Stanley Research