Cycle Composite for the S&P 500

Cycle Composite for the S&P 500 The Carson cycle composite provides valuable insights for investors and traders, suggesting that the S&P 500 index historically tends to exhibit a period of weakness around now, which often extends into March. Image: Carson Investment Research

S&P 500 with Start of Rate Cut Cycles and U.S. Recessions

S&P 500 with Start of Rate Cut Cycles and U.S. Recessions Historically, the S&P 500 has tended to post positive returns in the 12 months following the Fed’s first rate cut, unless the U.S. economy enters recession. Image: Deutsche Bank

S&P 500 Presidential Cycle

S&P 500 Presidential Cycle The Presidential Cycle Year 4 pattern suggests that investors should be prepared for a period of sluggish performance for the S&P 500 before a possible rally during the summer months. Image: BofA Global Research

U.S. Recession and Fed Hiking Cycle

U.S. Recession and Fed Hiking Cycle Based on the lags between rate hikes and previous cycles, the likelihood of a recession in the United States remains a topic of discussion. Image: Deutsche Bank

Investor Psychology Cycle

Investor Psychology Cycle When investor psychology is overly negative, it may indicate undervalued market prices, presenting buying opportunities for investors who are able to take a contrarian approach and invest when others are fearful. Image: Real Investment Advice

S&P 500 Index Quarterly Returns Based on the Four-Year Presidential Cycle

S&P 500 Index Quarterly Returns Based on the Four-Year Presidential Cycle The first quarter of an election year often exhibits a sluggish performance for the S&P 500 index, but as the year progresses, the market tends to regain strength, ultimately delivering a solid performance. Image: Carson Investment Research

Average S&P 500 Returns by Election Cycle Year

Average S&P 500 Returns by Election Cycle Year The dynamics and uncertainties of the electoral process often impact market performance in presidential election years, leading to a historical trend of weaker S&P 500 returns. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 – Monthly Seasonality for Year 3 of the Presidential Cycle

S&P 500 – Monthly Seasonality for Year 3 of the Presidential Cycle Investors and traders can gain valuable insights from historical trends. In the third year of the presidential cycle, December has historically been a strong month for U.S. stocks. Image: BofA Global Research