Earnings – S&P 500 Consensus EPS Revision The 2025 EPS revision trend follows historical patterns. With high initial estimates and ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty, investors should stay alert for possible further downward adjustments. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
EPS Revisions Typically, positive revisions in EPS increase stock market value and attract more investors, while negative revisions usually apply downward pressure on stock prices. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Stocks – High Quality Relative Earnings Revisions Breadth and High Quality Factor Relative Performance In a late-cycle market, investors looking for stability might find high-quality stocks appealing, given their historical ability to provide robust protection against both market volatility and economic downturns. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
EPS Revisions While consensus estimates for 2025 S&P 500 EPS have reverted to modest downward revisions, the overall market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, supported by improving economic indicators. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Earnings Revisions Breadth and S&P 500 YoY Performance The divergence between earnings revisions and S&P 500 performance suggests that investors are looking beyond current analyst estimates, potentially betting on stronger-than-expected corporate performance. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
S&P 500 Historical FY2 EPS Revisions vs. Consensus EPS Recent downward revisions in S&P 500 EPS estimates for 2024-25 reflect a cautious approach from analysts, primarily driven by economic uncertainties. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
GDP Growth Revision The U.S. economy demonstrates resilience and promising growth outlook, in contrast to the EU and China, which face slower recoveries and economic challenges. Image: Deutsche Bank
S&P 500 Earnings Estimate Revision Ratio The S&P 500 earnings estimate revision ratio has shown significant improvement, reflecting positive trends in earnings and expectations. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
S&P 500 Earnings Revisions Breadth S&P 500 earnings revision breadth remains in negative territory, suggesting that there is still a cautious outlook for future earnings of S&P 500 companies. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
S&P 500 Earnings Revisions Breadth Earnings revisions breadth for both large and small caps has returned to negative territory, which means that the overall sentiment and expectations for future earnings have worsened. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
S&P 500 Earnings Revisions Breadth vs. S&P 500 YoY With yields no longer supporting high valuations, earnings growth is expected to be the main factor driving U.S. equity returns in the near future. Image: Morgan Stanley Research