U.S. GDP Forecast for 2020

U.S. GDP Forecast for 2020 J.P. Morgan suggests that U.S. GDP in Q2 will be the worst on record. Image: Bloomberg

U.S. GDP Growth Scenario

U.S. GDP Growth Scenario Chart suggesting that U.S. GDP could improve significantly in the fourth quarter of 2020. Image: Deutsche Bank

Conference Board U.S. Leading Index (LEI) vs. U.S. GDP

Conference Board U.S. Leading Index vs. U.S. GDP This chart shows the good correlation between the Conference Board U.S. Leading Index Year-over-Year (white line) and U.S. GDP (blue line). The LEI is a good recession indicator. Image: Bloomberg, Jeroen Blokland

Business and Industrial Sentiment vs. U.S. GDP

Business and Industrial Sentiment vs. U.S. GDP Chart suggesting that business and industrial surveys have not explained U.S. economic growth over the past decade (R² = 0). Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC

U.S. GDP Growth and Business Cycles

U.S. GDP Growth and Business Cycles Despite the current U.S. economic expansion is the longest ever, GDP growth has been much slower during this business cycle than in previous cycles. Image: CNBC

Rotation vs. U.S. GDP Growth Forecasts

Rotation vs. U.S. GDP Growth Forecasts Chart suggesting that the rotation out of bonds into equities, out of growth into cyclicals, out of large caps into small caps, and out of gold into copper, is expected to continue in 2020. Image: Fidelity Investments