Difference Between Initial Release and Consensus Expectations of U.S. GDP U.S. GDP was one of the biggest upside surprise compared to consensus expectations, highlighting the challenges of accurately forecasting economic trends and outcomes. Image: BofA Global Research
Modeled Forward Russell 2000 Returns Conditional on Coincident Real U.S. GDP Growth The performance of small-cap stocks is linked to economic conditions. Weak U.S. economic growth may affect their returns, while strong growth offers potential for solid returns. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Range of U.S. GDP YoY Growth Forecasts and Maximum Error over 12-Month Prior While the U.S. economy may avoid a recession in 2024, U.S. GDP forecast dispersion remains at high levels, highlighting the inherent uncertainty and volatility in the current economic landscape. Image: BofA Global Research
U.S. GDP Growth Forecasts Goldman Sachs is more bullish on U.S. GDP growth than the consensus and the FOMC’s forecast, reflecting their confidence in a stronger performance for the U.S. economy. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Consensus U.S. GDP Growth Could the United States experience a significant deceleration in GDP growth in the near future? Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
U.S. Senior Loan Officers Survey (SLOOS) and U.S. GDP The U.S. Senior Loan Officers Survey (SLOOS) doesn’t bode well for U.S. GDP in the coming quarters. Image: Deutsche Bank
S&P 500 High Beta Index vs. U.S. GDP Growth Rate Should investors consider underweighting high beta stocks in their portfolios? Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index vs. U.S. GDP Growth The current reading of the U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index could result in negative U.S. GDP growth. Image: True Insights
U.S. LEI vs. U.S. GDP and Recessions Should investors bet on a hard or soft landing for the U.S. economy? Image: Deutsche Bank
U.S. GDP, Inflation and Unemployment – FOMC Economic Projections The Fed is forecasting an unemployment rate of 4.6% in 2023. Image: The Daily Shot
Effect of Fiscal Spending on the Level of U.S. GDP Fiscal support in the United States is expected to decline significantly. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research