U.S. Monetary Policy, Term Premium and Yield Curve This chart suggests when U.S. monetary policy is too tight or too loose. An inverted yield curve is a sign that monetary policy is too tight. Image: Fidelity Investments
Demographics – Labor Force Growth and Term Premium Chart suggesting that growth in the labor force could explain the term premium. The term premium is the risk premium (or the bonus) that investors receive for the risk of owning longer-term bonds. Image: Fidelity Investments
MOVE vs. Treasury Term Premium This chart shows the nice correlation between MOVE (implied volatility of U.S. Treasury markets) and the Treasury term premium. The term premium is the risk premium (or the bonus) that investors receive for the risk of owning longer-term bonds. Image: Longview Economics, Macrobond
Term Premium on a 10-Year Zero Coupon Bond Term premium on a 10-year zero coupon bond remains in negative territory. Investors do not seem to fear rising rates over the long-term. The term premium is the risk premium (or the bonus) that investors receive for the risk of owning longer-term bonds.
U.S. Equity Risk Premium – Long-Term View This chart suggests that U.S. equities look attractive relative to bonds. Image: Topdown Charts
S&P 500 Next Twelve Month Equity Risk Premium Chart suggesting that the S&P 500 NTM equity risk premium remains well above its long-term average. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
https://www.isabelnet.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/stock-market-equity-risk-premium.mp4 This fabulous model shows if the US stock market return for the next 10 years is more or less attractive than the 10-Year Treasury Note The US stock market equity risk premium is the US stock market excess return for the next 10 years over the 10-year treasury Note. This is the premium that…
https://www.isabelnet.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/stock-market-short-term-forecast.mp4 This great tool shows the US stock market forecast for the next 12 months and the probability This advanced mathematical model extracts insights from multiple financial data and produces a stock market short-term forecast for the next 12 months with a very high degree of confidence. This great prediction model is updated daily. It…
Click the Images to Enlarge Stock Market Valuation (Tutorial) Stock Market Short-Term Forecast (Tutorial) Stock Market Equity Risk Premium (Tutorial) Upgrade your Premium Membership to a Pro Membership Now! The period of your actual membership will be extended prorata temporis. PRO 39.95€/mo 399€/year and save 15% single user 4 Forecasting Models Stock Market Valuation Stock…
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