Search Results for: 10Y-3M

U.S. 10Y-3M Yield Curve and Recessions The U.S. 10Y-3M Treasury yield curve has historically been used as an indicator of potential recession risk. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

U.S. 10Y-3M Yield Curve The inverted U.S. 10Y-3M yield curve, which is historically a reliable indicator of an impending recession, continues to deepen. Image: J.P. Morgan

U.S. Dollar Index vs. 10Y-3M Real U.S. Treasury Yield Curve (Leading Indicator) The real U.S. yield curve suggests that the U.S. dollar may weaken over the next 12 months. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

U.S. Dollar Index vs. 10Y-3M Real U.S. Yield Curve The 10Y-3M real U.S. yield curve suggests a weaker U.S. dollar over the next 12 months. Image: Bloomberg

U.S. 10Y-3M Yield Curve The U.S. 10Y-3M yield curve suggests that the U.S. economy may be headed for a downturn in the near future. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

U.S. 10Y-3M Yield Curve and Fed Funds Target Rate Historically, the Fed doesn’t pivot policy until a recession arrives and the 10Y-3M US Treasury yield curve inverts. Is it really different this time? Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

U.S. Recessions and 10Y-3M Yield Curve Inverted The odds of a U.S. recession are rising, but remain well below warning levels. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond

The 10Y-3M Yield Curve Historically, an inverted yield curve has been an excellent predicator of economic recessions in the United States. Image: Bianco Research

Performance – S&P 500 Banks vs. 10Y-3M U.S. Treasury Yield Curve U.S. banks have lagged the broad market over the last 12 months, despite the yield curve steepening. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond

FMS Investors and 10Y-3M Yield Curve FMS investors are expecting a steeper yield curve. At 73%, this is an all-time high. Image: BofA Global Fund Manager Survey