U.S. Unemployment Rate
U.S. Unemployment Rate How long will the U.S. unemployment rate remain so low? Image: BofA Global Research
U.S. Unemployment Rate How long will the U.S. unemployment rate remain so low? Image: BofA Global Research
U.S. Unemployment Rate vs. 10-Year UST Yield and 3-Month UST Yield A bull steepener occurs when the U.S. unemployment rate increases. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond
Recession – U.S. Personal Saving Rate vs. U.S. Unemployment Rate Rising personal saving rates tend to be associated with economic downturns or recessions. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
U.S. Presidential Approval Rating vs. Unemployment Rate Despite the low unemployment rate, high inflation weighs on President Biden’s approval rating. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
U.S. Unemployment Rate vs. Recessionary Bear Market Lows The peak in unemployment can be used as a signal for the end of a recessionary bear market in U.S. stocks. Image: BofA Research Investment Committee
First Major Fed Rate Cut – U.S. CPI vs. Unemployment Rate Can the Fed cut interest rates in response to the bank crisis? Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
U.S. Unemployment Rate Before, During and at the End of Recessions The U.S. unemployment rate is a lagging indicator. It is not a reliable predictor of U.S. recessions. Image: Deutsche Bank
U.S. Unemployment Rate vs. U.S. 10Y-2Y Yield Curve A steepening U.S. yield curve has preceded recessions. Will the U.S. unemployment rate start to rise by the end of 2023? Image: Topdown Charts
S&P 500 Forward EPS vs. U.S. Unemployment Rate Weakness in S&P 500 earnings is a potential indicator of a higher U.S. unemployment rate. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Average Annualized 1-Month Real Total S&P 500 Return and U.S. Unemployment Rate A low U.S. unemployment rate can be seen as a negative for U.S. stocks. Image: BCA Research