U.S. Real GDP Annualized Quarterly Growth and Unemployment Rate Goldman Sachs now expects unemployment to rise to 15% by mid-year and a quarter-on-quarter annualized growth rates of -34% in Q2. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Delinquency Rate and Unemployment Rate Hopes of a V-shaped recovery are fading, as delinquency rates were already moving higher before the virus hit. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research
U.S. Unemployment Rate Expected in 2020 Dr. James Bullard, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, said that the U.S. unemployment rate may hit 30% in Q2 2020. Image: Piper Sandler
U.S. Unemployment Rate and U.S. Federal Government Budget Deficit This chart shows the unprecedented divergence between the U.S. unemployment rate and the U.S. federal government budget deficit. Image: Alpine Macro
U.S. Unemployment Rate Average of All Recessions This chart puts into perspective the U.S. unemployment rate during recessions and during the depression. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
U.S. Wage Growth and U.S. Unemployment Rate Has U.S. wage growth peaked? This chart suggests that the U.S. unemployment rate could bottom out at around 3.5% this year. Image: Oxford Economics
OECD Unemployment Rate and MSCI World As the chart suggests, very low unemployment isn’t usually great for stocks returns. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
U.S. Unemployment Rate Minus U.S. Natural Rate of Unemployment and Recessions The unemployment rate minus the natural rate of unemployment has been negative for 34 months, and tends to bottom before a recession.
U.S. President’s Approval Rating vs. U.S. Unemployment Rate at End of First Term President Trump’s approval rating is historically low compared to the unemployment rate. Image: J.P. Morgan
U.S. Business Cycle – Global Equity vs. Bonds and U.S. Unemployment Rate Chart suggesting that U.S. growth has peaked. Image: Pictet Asset Management