Search Results for: unemployment rate

First Major Fed Rate Cut – U.S. CPI vs. Unemployment Rate Can the Fed cut interest rates in response to the bank crisis? Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

U.S. Unemployment Rate Before, During and at the End of Recessions The U.S. unemployment rate is a lagging indicator. It is not a reliable predictor of U.S. recessions. Image: Deutsche Bank

U.S. Unemployment Rate vs. U.S. 10Y-2Y Yield Curve A steepening U.S. yield curve has preceded recessions. Will the U.S. unemployment rate start to rise by the end of 2023? Image: Topdown Charts

S&P 500 Forward EPS vs. U.S. Unemployment Rate Weakness in S&P 500 earnings is a potential indicator of a higher U.S. unemployment rate. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

Average Annualized 1-Month Real Total S&P 500 Return and U.S. Unemployment Rate A low U.S. unemployment rate can be seen as a negative for U.S. stocks. Image: BCA Research

Performance – U.S. Unemployment Rate vs. UST 10-Year vs. S&P 500 Price Relative Bonds tend to outperform stocks in a recessionary labor market. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

Rise in the Unemployment Rate During Post-WWII U.S. Recessions Will the United States experience a mild recession in 2023? Image: BCA Research

Labor Market – U.S. Unemployment Rate vs. Jobs “Hard to Get” Minus “Plentiful” How high will the U.S. unemployment rate rise? Image: Alpine Macro

Federal Funds Rate and U.S. Unemployment Rate Investors are hoping for a Fed pivot, but it is still premature with the unemployment rate at 3.5%. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

U.S. Unemployment Rate Forecast Could the United States fall into a mild recession in 2023? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research