Euro to U.S. Dollar (EUR/USD) and China’s Credit Impulse (Leading Indicator)
Euro to U.S. Dollar (EUR/USD) and China’s Credit Impulse (Leading Indicator) China’s credit impulse tends to lead the EUR/USD by 12 months. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
Euro to U.S. Dollar (EUR/USD) and China’s Credit Impulse (Leading Indicator) China’s credit impulse tends to lead the EUR/USD by 12 months. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
Euro to U.S. Dollar (EUR/USD) and China’s Credit Cycle (Leading Indicator) China’s credit cycle tends to lead the EUR/USD by one year. Image: Alpine Macro
Volatility – IG Credit Spreads vs. VIX IG credit spreads could suggest that VIX should be at 20. Image: BofA
China Credit Impulse and Germany PMI (Leading Indicator) China credit impulse tends to lead Germany PMI by 6 months. Image: Scotiabank GBM Portfolio Strategy
Credit Spreads and U.S. Labor Market Despite the Fed’s support, credit spreads remain above their pre-COVID-19 levels and may be taking a cue from the U.S. labor market. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
S&P 500 YTD Returns by Credit Rating Chart showing the impact of credit ratings on stock returns since the beginning of the year. Image: BofA Research Investment Committee
Number of S&P Non-Financial Credit Ratings Global creditworthiness fades as companies embrace debt. Triple-A ratings are a thing of the past. Image: Financial Times
U.S. Household Debt and Credit Aggregate household debt balances declined by $34bn and stand at $14.27tn. This is the first decline since 2014. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of New York
VIX vs. IG Credit Spread and S&P 500 This chart shows that the VIX has realigned with the IG credit spread, but not with the S&P 500. Image: Deutsche Bank
Fed’s Credit Lending Facilities Only a fraction of Fed’s emergency lending facilities has been deployed so far. Image: Oxford Economics