Survey – U.S. Stock Market Returns in 2021

Survey – U.S. Stock Market Returns in 2021 Most investors are optimistic and expect the U.S. stock market to move much higher over the next 12 months. Image: Investopedia

Distribution of U.S. Market Returns

Distribution of U.S. Market Returns Since 1926, annual returns between 20% and 30% are the most common. Year-to-date, the S&P 500 Index has gained 23%. Image: Center of Research in Security Prices

S&P 500 Average Returns in Bull Markets

S&P 500 Average Returns in Bull Markets While the third year of a bull market often shows signs of relative weakness, patient investors may find substantial opportunities in the following years, as historical trends suggest the potential for sustained growth. Image: Carson Investment Research

S&P 500 Return – Year 3 of Bull Market

S&P 500 Return – Year 3 of Bull Market Like a kid who loses interest in his favorite toy after two years, the S&P 500 tends to slow down in the third year of a bull market. Its gains often become less impressive compared to the first two years. Image: MarketDesk

S&P 500 Market Concentration vs. 10-Year Annualized Forward Returns

S&P 500 Market Concentration vs. 10-Year Annualized Forward Returns High concentration in the S&P 500 may boost short-term performance, but it often signals lower future returns, particularly during non-recessionary periods. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Real Market Cap to GDP Ratio vs. Expected 10-Year Forward Returns

Real Market Cap to GDP Ratio vs. Expected 10-Year Forward Returns The current elevated inflation-adjusted market capitalization to GDP ratio suggests the likelihood of anemic returns for the U.S. stock market over the next 10 years. Image: Real Investment Advice