S&P 500 Forecast Dividend Yield Is Above The 10-Year Treasury Yield Dividends remained stable or increased, while the 10-year Treasury yield has declined. Picture source: Wells Fargo Investment Institute
U.S. Real GDP Growth Forecast Chart suggesting that U.S. real GDP growth is expected to increase in the coming quarters. Picture source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Most Important Variables When Forecasting Real GDP Search trends are very different between China (manufacturing industry) and the USA/Eurozone (consumer), when forecasting real GDP. Picture source: Arbor Research & Trading LLC
S&P 500 Forecast for 2019 Goldman Sachs is holding its year-end price-target for the S&P 500 at 3100, and its downside scenario at 2620 (as of August 23, 2019). Picture source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Demographics – Forecasting U.S. GDP This chart suggests that aging population is weighing down growth. Picture source: Arbor Research & Trading LLC
Stock Market Forecasting Models vs. US Stock Market – Growth of $1,000 As an example, the chart shows the growth of $1,000 since 1970, between the stock market forecasting models and the US stock market (compound return before taxes, fees and transactions costs – unleveraged, simulated long & short trades – quarterly basis & logarithmic…
SELECT A STOCK MARKET FORECASTING MODEL STOCK MARKET VALUATION STOCK MARKET SHORT-TERM FORECAST STOCK MARKET EQUITY RISK PREMIUM STOCK MARKET LONG-TERM FORECAST STOCK MARKET FORECASTING MODELS VS. US STOCK MARKET 99% CORRELATION, R² = 0.97 SINCE 1970 RECESSION INDICATORS LEADING INDICATORS
What our Short-Term Forecast of the US Stock Market Has Been for the Past 12 Months? Here is what our short-term forecast of the US stock market has been for the past 12 months. This great prediction model is updated daily. It has a 99% correlation with the US stock market on a quarterly basis since 1970…
Vanguard Founder Jack Bogle’s Market Forecast Vanguard Founder Jack Bogle has done more for the average investor than any person in the financial industry. By the end of 2018, he tells us why he thinks returns will be lower in the coming years. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x5fX0CdESMk
https://www.isabelnet.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/stock-market-long-term-forecast.mp4 This great long-term forecast model displays the annual and total return expected for the next 10 years with a high degree of confidence This advanced model makes a forecast for the next 12 months, next 3 years, next 5 years, and next 10 years, with dividends reinvested. For each period, it displays the annual…
