U.S. Rates – 2-Year and 10-Year Treasury Yield Forecasts

U.S. Rates – 2-Year and 10-Year Treasury Yield Forecasts BofA still forecasts the 10-year UST yield at 4.25% and the 2-year UST yield at 4.00% by year-end 2024, suggesting the possibility of a downward trend in borrowing costs. Image: BofA Global Research

U.S. Unemployment Rate Forecast

U.S. Unemployment Rate Forecast According to Deutsche Bank, a mild recession in the United States may result in a modestly higher unemployment rate than what is anticipated by both consensus and the Federal Reserve. Image: Deutsche Bank

U.S. GDP Forecast

Range of U.S. GDP YoY Growth Forecasts and Maximum Error over 12-Month Prior While the U.S. economy may avoid a recession in 2024, U.S. GDP forecast dispersion remains at high levels, highlighting the inherent uncertainty and volatility in the current economic landscape. Image: BofA Global Research

Inflation – CPI Forecast

GDP Growth and CPI Forecasts In 2024, global growth is expected to mildly decelerate, followed by a gradual recovery in 2025. Additionally, inflation is projected to gradually decrease across most countries. Image: BofA Global Research

U.S. GDP Growth Forecasts

U.S. GDP Growth Forecasts Goldman Sachs is more bullish on U.S. GDP growth than the consensus and the FOMC’s forecast, reflecting their confidence in a stronger performance for the U.S. economy. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Asset Class Returns Forecasts

Asset Class Returns Forecasts Bank of America forecasts a soft landing and moderate growth for global equities in 2024. Image: BofA Global Research

U.S. Home Price Forecasts

U.S. Home Price Forecasts Morgan Stanley projects a 3% decline in U.S. home prices for 2024. However, their bull case scenario predicts a 5% increase, while the bear case scenario anticipates an 8% drop. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

S&P 500 Price Forecasts vs. Market Pricing

S&P 500 Price Forecasts vs. Market Pricing Goldman Sachs, in its base case scenario, forecasts that the S&P 500 will reach a level of 4,700 by the end of 2024. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

GDP Consensus Forecasts

GDP Consensus Forecasts Optimistic U.S. GDP forecasts suggest that there is confidence in the underlying strength of the U.S. economy. Image: BofA Global Research