Fed Rate Cut vs. ISM Manufacturing Index and ISM Non-Manufacturing Index

Fed Rate Cut vs. ISM Manufacturing Index and ISM Non-Manufacturing Index Since 1997, when the ISM Manufacturing Index is below 50 and the ISM Non-Manufacturing Index is above 52, the Fed is less aggressive, with about 68bp of easing on average. Picture source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

ISM Non-Manufacturing Index vs. U.S. GDP

ISM Non-Manufacturing Index vs. U.S. GDP The chart shows the goof correlation between ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI and U.S. GDP. Picture source: Piper Jaffray

ISM Manufacturing Index vs. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index

ISM Manufacturing Index vs. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index ISM Non-Manufacturing rises to 56.9. That’s good news despite US-China trade tensions and weak global growth. When ISM Manufacturing PMI and ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI are below 50, as in 2001 and 2008, there is a recession.But when there is a divergence, as in 2016 and today, it doesn’t…

Copper to Gold Ratio

Copper to Gold Ratio The copper to gold ratio provides useful information on the evolution of the U.S. 10-year Treasury, the ISM Non-Manufacturing Index and the average weekly hours worked. Picture source: Paolo Cardena