WTI Oil Prices While oil prices remain highly sensitive to geopolitical risks, particularly in regions like the Middle East, the market has so far avoided the kind of sustained shock that would trigger broader inflation. Image: Deutsche Bank
Brent Crude Oil Prices – Biggest Weekly Jumps Fueled by a sudden escalation in Middle East conflict and concerns over major supply disruptions, Brent crude oil prices experienced one of their biggest weekly gains since 1988. Image: Deutsche Bank
Brent Crude Oil Price Forecast Goldman Sachs projects that Brent crude oil prices will average $60/56 per barrel for the remainder of 2025, with a further decline to an annual average of $56/$52 per barrel in 2026, reflecting increased global supply from OPEC+. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Oil, 10 Year U.S. Treasury Yields and U.S. Dollar The increasing cohesion in recent years between oil prices, 10-year U.S. Treasury yields, and the U.S. dollar reflects deeper economic linkages and heightened sensitivity to policy and market shocks. Image: Deutsche Bank
CTAs Allocation in Oil Commodity Trading Advisors have significantly reduced their exposure to oil in the current market climate. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Oil Price vs. U.S. 10-Year Breakeven Inflation Rate Since the 2008 global financial crisis, U.S. breakeven inflation has closely tracked crude oil prices, reflecting the significant impact of oil price fluctuations on inflation expectations and overall economic conditions. Image: Bloomberg
Commodities (Oil, Gold, Copper) – Commodity Net Long Positioning While there are some pressures from rising U.S. Treasury yields and a stronger U.S. dollar, the current landscape for gold positioning is marked by a robust bullish sentiment, with increasing net long positions. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Equity, Bond, FX and Oil Volatility Premiums Volatility premiums have significantly declined across asset classes after the U.S. elections. As election results become known, market uncertainty diminishes, leading to lower volatility premiums and increased stability. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
WTI Crude Oil to Gold Ratio Gold shines as the best-performing asset of 2024 for those looking for stability and inflation protection, while oil faces significant challenges from shifting demand patterns. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
U.S. Breakeven Inflation Rates vs. Oil U.S. breakeven inflation rates closely track oil prices, creating a complex challenge for the Federal Reserve as it navigates potential deflationary pressures in the coming months. Image: Real Investment Advice
Price of Oil Forecast In contrast to futures market’s expectations, Goldman Sachs forecasts a positive outlook for oil prices over the next 3 months. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research