Search Results for: economic

U.S. Economic Cycles Since 1854 This chart puts into perspective the current U.S. economic cycle. Picture source: Societe Generale Cross Asset Research

The Economic Impact of Hurricanes This chart shows the most devasting hurricanes since 1980. Picture source: Statista

U.S. Equity Volatility and Global Economic Policy Uncertainty The chart shows that U.S. equity volatility does not mirror global economic policy uncertainty since 2009, perhaps due to strong central bank support. Picture source: Pictet Wealth Management

Citi Economic Surprise Index and S&P 500 The Citi Economic Surprise Index has risen sharply, but it has an inconsistent history in terms of its correlation with the S&P 500. It is a cyclical indicator: high readings suggest favouring defensives over cyclicals, and low readings suggest favouring cyclicals over defensives. Picture source: Renaissance Macro

Copper-to-Gold Ratio and Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) When the copper-to-gold ratio decreases, it is an early warning signal for the economy, meaning that growth optimism is fading. Picture source: Wells Fargo Investment Institute

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the U.S. Increased in July LEI for the U.S. increased 0.5% in July and suggests that the U.S. economy should continue to expand in H2 2019. Picture source: The Conference Board

Citi Economic Surprise Index vs. EUR/USD Weaker European growth relative to the U.S. could weaken Euro/U.S. Dollar. Picture source: Credit Suisse

U.S. Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) and Fed Insurance Rate Cuts This chart shows that Fed insurance rate cuts can be good news when the U.S. economy slows down. Picture source: Scotiabank

Economic Policy Uncertainty vs. Central Bank Uncertainty Economic policy uncertainty is at record highs, while Central Bank uncertainty is at record lows. Picture source: BofA Merrill Lynch

Leading Economic Indicators (LEI): U.S. vs. Global Leading economic indicators appear to be stabilizing, outside the United States. The central banks’ policy response could have a positive knock-on effect on global growth. Picture source: Legg Mason