U.S. Dollar Index vs. Reserves (Leading Indicator)

U.S. Dollar Index vs. Reserves (Leading Indicator) This chart suggests that reserves tend to lead the U.S. dollar index by three months. Lower U.S. dollar ahead? Image: Economic Perspectives

U.S. Leading Economic Indicators and Recession Warnings

U.S. Leading Economic Indicators and Recession Warnings The Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index for the U.S. has rarely weakened sharply ahead of rate cuts, except in 2007. Currently, it doesn’t suggest that a recession is looming. Image: Reuters

Citigroup Economic Surprise Index vs. 10-Year Treasury Yield

Citigroup Economic Surprise Index vs. 10-Year Treasury Yield This chart shows a good correlation between Citigroup Economic Surprise Index and 10-year Treasury yield. Lower yields ahead? You may also like “For the Last Few Years, Equity Markets Have Been Leading Bond Markets.” Image: Yardeni Research, Inc.