U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Three Fridays ago, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell — and the S&P 500 didn’t disappoint, ending…

S&P 500 and Liquidity After years of being conditioned by the Fed to buy every dip, investors since 2022 have turned their focus from liquidity to second-guessing policy shifts—leaning more on Fed signals than on…

S&P 500 Index Max Pullback per Calendar Year Markets don’t move in straight lines. Since 1980, the S&P 500 has averaged double‑digit annual gains, even as it routinely fell an average 14% at some point…

Fear & Greed Index – Investor Sentiment With the Fear & Greed Index stuck at 24, anxiety is palpable, with some market participants pulling back and playing defense. Image: Cable News Network

S&P 500 Index and 50-Day Moving Average Dips don’t last long these days. Since May, every S&P 500 pullback has flipped into another leg higher, with losses capped around 3% before the next record high.…

U.S. Stock Market Valuations – Combined P/E Ratio High P/E ratios in U.S. tech stocks cut both ways — they highlight the sector’s strong growth prospects but also the danger of valuations inflated by unbridled…

U.S. Labor Productivity A pandemic-driven productivity surge has put U.S. real output per hour 1.7% above its previous trajectory, providing tailwinds to economic performance and keeping the American growth story alive and well. Image: Deutsche…

Bitcoin Price and 365-Day Moving Average A break below the 365-day moving average puts Bitcoin on the defensive. Add in thin dip demand, margin pressure, and souring sentiment, and the setup looks ripe for institutional…

AAII Sentiment Survey A persistently negative AAII bull-bear spread tells the story of uneasy sentiment—but for contrarians, this kind of gloom often marks the start of opportunity, not the edge of a selloff. Image: The…

Atlanta Fed GDPNow U.S. Real GDP Estimate Estimates from the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow point to 4.0% annualized GDP growth in Q3 2025 — evidence that the U.S. economy’s engine is still running hot. Image: Federal…

NAAIM Exposure Index – Investor Sentiment At 90.06, the NAAIM Exposure Index shows active managers remain all-in on U.S. equities — proof that animal spirits are alive and kicking. The National Association of Active Investment Managers Exposure…