Investor Sentiment – U.S. Market Greed/Fear Index

Investor Sentiment – U.S. Market Greed/Fear Index At 81.75, the current reading of the Market Greed/Fear Index indicates a significant level of market greed, which raises concerns about potential overconfidence. Image: Real Investment Advice

Insider Transactions Ratio

Insider Transactions Ratio The Insider Transactions Ratio suggests a balanced approach to insider transactions, with no strong preference for buying or selling. Image: Barron’s

Valuation – S&P 500 Median Fwd P/E

Valuation – Median Forward P/E While valid concerns exist regarding the high valuations of TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) stocks today, it’s important to note that the current situation is nothing like the tech bubble…

S&P 500 NTM EPS vs. Total Return Level

S&P 500 NTM EPS vs. Total Return Level NTM EPS estimates exert a powerful influence on the performance and direction of the U.S. equity market, making them a significant driving force. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

Aggregated U.S. Equity Futures Positions

Aggregated U.S. Equity Futures Positions While showing reduced bullishness, leveraged funds and asset managers maintain a positive market outlook by holding net long positions in U.S. equity futures. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

U.S. CPI Inflation

U.S. CPI Inflation – Volatility vs. Inflation The United States has had remarkably steady inflation rates for 40 years, unlike the fluctuating patterns seen since 1775. This anomaly can be attributed in part to monetary…

CTAs Exposure to Equities

CTAs Exposure to Equities CTAs’ overall allocation to equities in the 92nd percentile suggests that Commodity Trading Advisors are still very confident in the potential for positive returns in equities. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

GS U.S. Financial Conditions Index

GS U.S. Financial Conditions Index The easing of financial conditions since October 2023 has had a similar effect to approximately 100 bps of rate cuts, potentially influencing the Federal Reserve’s decision-making regarding interest rates. Image:…

Discretionary vs. Systematic Equity Positioning

Discretionary vs. Systematic Equity Positioning The 75th percentile systematic equity allocation and the 85th percentile discretionary equity allocation indicate a strong positive sentiment and a high level of confidence in equity markets. Image: Deutsche Bank…