S&P 500 and the Shortest Maturity U.S. Treasury Yielded Highest Houston, we have a problem! Picture source: OddStats

U.S. GDP and S&P 500: Change in the Three Years After a Recession Began U.S. GDP has declined by about 1.4% over two quarters since World War II, and in the worst recessions, the S&P…

How Many Recessions People Lived Through As An Adult? This chart puts recessions into perspective. Currently, about 40 million American adults haven’t experienced a single recession during their working lives. Picture source: The Washington Post

Time From First 10Y-2Y Yield Curve Inversion And S&P 500 Returns The S&P 500 tends to rise after an inverted yield curve. Last three 10Y-2Y curve inversions, further gains average 33%. Picture source: Fundstrat Global…

Fed Rate Cut – Target Probabilities at the Fed’s FOMC Sept. 18 Meeting Today, traders see a 21.2% probability of a 50-bps rate cut and a 78.8% probability of a 25-bps rate cut at the Fed’s…

S&P 500 Returns Following 10Y-2Y Yield Curve Inversions In recent history, the 10Y-2Y curve inversion has preceded U.S. recessions, but the S&P 500 typically rises in 12 months following yield curve inversion. Picture source: Goldman…

Cross-Asset Correlation Matrix This spreadsheet showing the correlation between different asset classes, is useful for asset allocation. Picture source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Global Semiconductor Sales Lead U.S. GDP Growth This interesting chart suggests that global semiconductor sales lead U.S. GDP growth by six months. Picture source: Nordea and Macrobond

U.S. Household Debt and World Trade This chart shows the pretty good correlation between U.S. household debt and world trade. Picture source: Oxford Economics, Macrobond

Real Annualized Equity Returns in Local Currency and U.S. Dollar Over a long period of time, this chart suggests that there is a small difference between local currency equity returns and U.S. dollar hedged returns.…