U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls vs. U.S. ISM Manufacturing New Orders
U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls vs. U.S. ISM Manufacturing New Orders U.S. nonfarm payrolls could potentially decline this year due to a weakening U.S. economy. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls vs. U.S. ISM Manufacturing New Orders U.S. nonfarm payrolls could potentially decline this year due to a weakening U.S. economy. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
U.S. Labor Market – U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls vs. Retail Sales A slight increase in the U.S. unemployment rate could lead to increased concerns about a hard landing for the U.S. economy. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
U.S. Employees on Nonfarm Payrolls and JOLTS Job Openings U.S. job openings hit another record high, as hiring struggles persist. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
Fed – Timeline for Tapering and Change in Nonfarm Payrolls Should the market be braced for a formal taper announcement in December 2021? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Labor Market – Nonfarm Payrolls It could take many years for the U.S. labor market to recover. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
U.S. Nonfarm Payroll Employment and U3 Unemployment Rate Oxford Economics expects 24 million jobs lost in the U.S. and unemployment rate spiking to 14%. Image: Oxford Economics
U.S. Nonfarm Payroll Growth and Unemployment Rate Goldman Sachs expects new lows in the U.S. unemployment rate in 2020. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Change in Nonfarm Payrolls and Average Payrolls Change in U.S. Economic Cycle Nonfarm payrolls have averaged 184k the past 12 months, more than the cycle average of 170k. This does not happen in front of recessions. Image: LPL Research
ISM Manufacturing PMI and Nonfarm Payroll Growth vs. U.S. Election Outcome Chart showing the relationship between growth trends into U.S. elections and the margin of victory or defeat for incumbent candidates. Historically, the probability of incumbents winning an election increases, as growth trends improve. Image: Bessemer Trust
S&P 500 Return vs. NonFarm Payrolls Since 1988, the cumulative return of the S&P 500 has been much better when nonfarm payrolls have exceeded 100,000. Image: Pictet Wealth Management