Search Results for: S&P 500 cycle

S&P 500 Cycle Composite Can U.S. equity investors expect a rebound in the second half of 2022? Image: Ned Davis Research

S&P 500 Cycle-Adjusted P/E The S&P500 cycle-adjusted P/E is now 29.9 and 75% above its long-term average, suggesting weak equity returns over the next 10 years. Image: J.P. Morgan

Seasonality – S&P 500 Cycle Composite for 2019 This great chart shows the S&P 500 cycle composite for 2019 vs. the actual S&P 500 composite (places equal weight on: one-year seasonal cycle, four-year presidential cycle, and 10-year decennial cycle). This is not a forecast. Image: Ned Davis Research

S&P 500 Monthly Seasonality – Presidential Cycle Year 2 Historically, S&P 500 seasonality is more bullish in October prior to the midterm elections. Image: BofA Global Research

Pullbacks and Returns a Year Off the Lows for the S&P 500 Index Based on the 4-Year Presidential Cycle Historically, the S&P 500 average intra-year pullback from peak to trough has been more than 17% in midterm years. Image: LPL Research

The Average Trajectory of the S&P 500 Before and After the First Fed Rate Hike over the Previous 10 Fed Tightening Cycles With rates rising rapidly, will the S&P 500 continue to rally? Image: J.P. Morgan

S&P 500 Total Returns During Fed Hiking Cycles Historically, the S&P 500 tends to do well during Fed hiking cycles. Image: BofA Research Investment Committee

Average S&P 500 Performance in Fed Tightening Cycles S&P 500 weakness tends to materialise 9-10 months after the first Fed rate hike and tends to last a year. Image: Deutsche Bank

S&P 500 Around the Start of Fed Rate Hike Cycle Will the S&P 500 generate positive returns during the Fed’s hiking cycle? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Valuation – S&P 500 Forward P/E Multiple and First Hike of Fed Tightening Cycle Historically, the S&P 500 forward P/E remains flat in the 6 months before and after the start of the first Fed hike. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research