Search Results for: S&P 500 cycle

S&P 500 Cycle Composite Should U.S. equity investors remain optimistic about the S&P 500 in 2023, despite many headwinds? Image: Ned Davis Research

S&P 500 Cycle-Adjusted P/E The S&P500 cycle-adjusted P/E is now 29.9 and 75% above its long-term average, suggesting weak equity returns over the next 10 years. Image: J.P. Morgan

Seasonality – S&P 500 Cycle Composite for 2019 This great chart shows the S&P 500 cycle composite for 2019 vs. the actual S&P 500 composite (places equal weight on: one-year seasonal cycle, four-year presidential cycle, and 10-year decennial cycle). This is not a forecast. Image: Ned Davis Research

S&P 500 Index Quarterly Returns Based on the Four-Year Presidential Cycle Historically, the S&P 500 has shown a pattern of weakness during the third quarter of pre-election years, while the fourth quarter has typically been strong. Image: Carson Investment Research

S&P 500 – Monthly Seasonality for Year 3 of the Presidential Cycle Historically, September tends to be a challenging month for the S&P 500 in the third year of the U.S. presidential cycle. Image: BofA Global Research

S&P 500 Presidential Cycle Will the S&P 500 reach a new all-time high in 2024? Image: BofA Global Research

Returns a Year Off the Lows for the S&P 500 Index Based on the 4-Year Presidential Cycle Historically, U.S. stocks have shown an average increase of 32.3% a year after a midterm year low. Image: Carson Investment Research

Cycle Composite for the S&P 500 Based on the Carson cycle composite, it seems likely that the S&P 500 will experience a period of strength into late July. Image: Carson Investment Research

S&P 500 and Last Hike in Federal Reserve Bank Rate Hiking Cycles The last Fed rate hike is not necessarily bearish for U.S. stocks over the next 12 months. Image: Carson Investment Research

S&P 500 Returns Around the End of Fed Hiking Cycles In recent history, U.S. stocks tend to rally if there is no recession following the end of Fed hiking cycles. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research