U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S. stock market tendency is bullish, bearish or neutral. A bullish signal suggests that the U.S. stock market may go up, while a bearish signal suggests that the U.S. stock…
ISM Manufacturing Index and ISM Prices Paid Index (Leading Indicator) The ISM Prices Paid Index tends to lead the ISM Manufacturing Index by 12 months, suggesting a fall of the ISM Manufacturing Index in 1H22. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Sentiment Indicator and Stock Positioning The GS sentiment indicator remains negative. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Stocks – China Credit Impulse and China Stock Prices Relative to EM (Leading Indicator) China credit impulse tends to lead Chinese stock prices relative to EM by one month. Image: Alpine Macro
U.S. Cycle – Macro Regime Indicator The KKR’s macro regime indicator is still in the mid-cycle expansion phase. Image: KKR & Co.
U.S. Cycle Indicator The KKR’s U.S. cycle indicator from KKR is still in the mid-cycle expansion phase. Image: KKR & Co.
U.S. Business Cycle – Cross-Asset Cycle Indicator The Morgan Stanley’s cyclical indicator remains in the expansion phase. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
ISM YoY and U.S. 2+10-Year Bond Yield YoY (Leading Indicator) The U.S. 2+10-year bond yield YoY (inverted) tends to lead the ISM YoY by 18 months, suggesting that the growth momentum is expected to fade through H1 2022. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
U.S. Equity Sentiment Indicator The GS sentiment indicator remains negative. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Market Cycle Indicators Chart suggesting that the current business cycle’s end is not imminent in the U.S.. The risk of a bear market is low when the % of market cycle indicators is greater than 30%. Image: Richardson Wealth