U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S. stock market tendency is bullish, bearish or neutral. A bullish signal suggests that the U.S. stock market may go up, while a bearish signal suggests that the U.S. stock…
Sentiment Indicator and Stock Positioning The GS sentiment indicator remains positive and is not stretched yet. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Brent Crude Oil and GDP G3 (Leading Indicator) Brent crude oil prices tend to lead GDP G3 growth by 15 months. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
Inflation – Wage Survey Leading Indicator Wage growth is expected to increase. Will wages increases lead to inflation? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Different Market Sentiment Indicators Most market sentiment indicators remain risk-on. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Liquidity Indicator and U.S. Recessions Liquidity is an interesting indicator of the state of the U.S. business cycle. Image: Longview Economics
ISM Manufacturing Index and ISM Prices Paid Index (Leading Indicator) The ISM Prices Paid Index tends to lead the ISM Manufacturing Index by 12 months, suggesting a mid-cycle shift this year. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Euro to U.S. Dollar (EUR/USD) and China Credit Impulse – Leading Indicator China credit impulse tends to lead EUR/USD by 14 months. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
S&P 500 Valuation and Buffett Indicator – Inflation-Adjusted Market Capitalization to GDP Ratio The Buffett’s market indicator is at all-time highs. “The four most dangerous words in investing are: this time it’s different.” —John Templeton Image: Real Investment Advice
Risk Appetite Indicator Level and Momentum Factors The risk appetite indicator remains positive. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research