Valuation – 10-Year Government Bond Yield (U.S. and Italy, Advanced by 3-Months) and World Equities 12-Month Forward PE (Leading Indicator) The low levels of government bond yields help to explain the world’s stock market valuation. Image: BCA Research
World Equities and U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond Yield Chart suggesting to sell stocks if the earnings yield spread reaches 2.5%. Image: BCA Research
World Equities and U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Chart suggesting that the round trip in U.S. Treasury yields explains the round trip in stock market valuation. Image: Financial Times
Valuation – World Technology Equities Rising bond yields could hurt the tech sector, as it is very sensitive to higher yields. Image: BCA Research
U.S. vs. World ex-U.S. Equities Is it a major turning point for the U.S. stock market? Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
U.S. Equities and The World: Earnings Growth vs. Multiple Expansion Since the 2009 low, the strong performance of the U.S. markets comes from earnings growth (73%) and multiple expansion (27%). You may also like “S&P 500 Return: Earnings Growth vs. Multiple Expansion.” Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. 30 Year Total Return Benckmark Government Index and All-Country World Total Return Index Could rising inflation be more painful for bonds than for equities? Image: BCA Research
Equity Prices – Japanese Relative to World Are Japanese equities set to outperform their global counterparts? Image: BCA Research
Global Money Supply and MSCI World Index Global equities are around 1 standard devation vs. global money supply. It could be bullish for stocks, as global money supply growth tends to push equities higher. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
U.S. vs. Developed Market Equities (ex-US) Price Relative This chart shows the dominance of the U.S., as the U.S. stock market has grown bigger than the rest of the world’s stock market. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy