Core Inflation and Average Trailing S&P 500 P/E Ratio In periods of low inflation, the P/E ratio is higher. Conversely, high inflation tends to depress the P/E ratio. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Forward P/E Ratio S&P 500 to 3,550? “Bull markets don’t die of old age” but the forward P/E ratio of the S&P 500 remains at high level. Image: SunTrust Private Wealth Management
Valuation – S&P 500 Forward P/E Ratio Chart showing that the forward P/E ratio of the S&P 500 remains at high level, above its historical range. Image: Fidelity Investments
Valuation – Forward P/E Ratio From the valuation peak of January 2018, most P/E ratios have seen drawdowns of 20%-30%, making this feel like a bear market. Image: Fidelity Investments
Strong vs. Weak Balance Sheet Stocks Forward P/E Ratio and CCC/BB OAS Ratio Quality in U.S. credit and equity markets is very expensive. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Yield Curve and Growth/Value P/E Ratio The chart below shows that the shape of yield curve explains nearly 50% of the variation in value vs. growth multiples. Actually, when the U.S. economy is sluggish, investors prefer growth stocks. Image: BlackRock, Inc.
S&P 500 Valuation – Forward P/E Ratio – May 10, 2019 S&P 500 Valuation: Forward P/E Ratio is 16.5 and equal to the 5-year average, above the 10-Year average (14.7).Based on the forward P/E ratio, the US stock market is not too expensive. You may also like our “Stock Market Valuation.” Image: FactSet Research Systems Inc.
Valuation – S&P 500 Forward PE Ratio The forward P/E ratio of the S&P 500 is 19.77 and remains at high level. The historical range is about 15.5 to 17. Image: Bianco Research
S&P 500 Trailing Price-to-Earnings Ratio vs. Real Fed Funds Rate Great chart showing the S&P 500 12-month trailing P/E ratio vs. the real Fed funds rate (R² = 0.79). Image: Stifel
S&P 500 Valuation Multiples The price-to-sales ratio of the S&P 500 Index suggests that stocks are as expensive as they were during the Internet bubble. The P/E ratio also remains at high level. Image: Tomasz Hońdo