ISM Manufacturing PMI and Global Stocks vs. Government Bonds

ISM Manufacturing PMI and Global Stocks vs. Government Bonds In a potential shift from a “no” to a “hard” landing scenario, government bonds may outperform due to increased risk aversion, interest rate cuts, lower inflation expectations, and their historical performance during economic downturns. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

ISM Manufacturing PMI and ISM New Orders – Inventories

ISM Manufacturing PMI and ISM New Orders – Inventories The spread between U.S. ISM New Orders and Inventories does not suggest a promising upward trend in the ISM manufacturing PMI, as new orders are decreasing at a faster pace than inventories. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

Global Manufacturing PMI

Global Manufacturing PMI The global manufacturing PMI has returned to expansion territory, indicating a positive trend in global manufacturing activity. This is a welcome sign for the global economy. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI vs. S&P 500 EPS Growth

U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI vs. S&P 500 EPS Growth A rise in the U.S. ISM manufacturing PMI is suggesting positive growth in 1Q EPS, with expectations of outperforming the initial projections. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy

U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls vs. U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI

U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls vs. U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI A reading below 50 on the ISM manufacturing index indicates a contraction in manufacturing activity, potentially affecting payrolls. However, the relationship between the index and actual payrolls is not straightforward. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy

ISM Manufacturing PMI vs. ISM New Orders – Inventories

ISM Manufacturing PMI vs. ISM New Orders – Inventories The U.S. ISM New Orders less Inventories spread continues to suggest a higher ISM Manufacturing PMI. This correlation points towards a positive outlook for the manufacturing sector. Image: The Daily Shot

Sentiment – Global PMI and Risk Appetite Indicator

Sentiment – Global PMI and Risk Appetite Indicator The GS risk appetite indicator remaining elevated suggests that investors have a high appetite for risk in the financial markets. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 vs. ISM Composite PMI

S&P 500 vs. ISM Composite PMI It is common during the late stage of an economic cycle for the S&P 500 to outpace the ISM. Should investors favor defensive stocks, energy and industrials? Image: Morgan Stanley Research