NFIB Small Business Availability Loans vs. U.S. Initial Jobless Claims When interest rates are high, weak credit conditions can greatly affect the economy, potentially resulting in increased unemployment. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Weekly Loan Fund Flows Investors are exhibiting a cautious approach, as evidenced by significant outflows from U.S. loan funds. Image: BofA Global Research
Bank Loan Flows The largest outflow from bank loan funds since March 2020 can be seen as a negative development and reflects negative investor sentiment. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
U.S. Small Bank Loans and U.S. Large Bank Loans U.S. banks play a vital role in supporting economic growth, and despite the challenges posed by rising interest rates, they continue to provide loans to individuals and businesses. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
U.S. Senior Loan Officers Survey (SLOOS) and U.S. GDP The U.S. Senior Loan Officers Survey (SLOOS) doesn’t bode well for U.S. GDP in the coming quarters. Image: Deutsche Bank
Senior Loan Officer Survey and S&P 500 EPS A continued slowdown in earnings growth is expected through the end of the year. Image: Morgan Stanley Research
Loan Demand Demand for commercial & industrial (C&I) and commercial real estate (CRE) loans remains weak, which does not bode well for a soft landing. Image: BofA Global Research
U.S. Recession – Net % Tightening Standards for Credit Card Loans U.S. banks are concerned about the risk of a recession, as they are tightening their lending standards. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Net Percent of U.S. Banks Tightening Consumer Loan Standards and Recessions Is it a warning sign of a recession on the horizon? U.S. banks are significantly tightening lending standards, which doesn’t bode well for the economy. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
S&P 500 – Quantity-On-Loan on the SPY U.S. ETF This short interest proxy on SPY US ETF has increased significantly since the FOMC meeting. Image: J.P. Morgan
High-Yield Option-Adjusted Spread and Banks Reporting Tightening C&L Loan Standards Banks are tightening lending standards amid uncertain economic outlook, while credit spreads have largely normalized. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research