Volatility Divergence – VIX vs. MOVE

Volatility Divergence – VIX vs. MOVE When MOVE is below the 50th percentile and VIX is above the 80th percentile, the average annualized S&P 500 price performance has been close to +21% compared to just over +7% the rest of the time. Image: Bloomberg

Russell 2000/Nasdaq 100 and Real U.S. 10-Year Yields

Russell 2000/Nasdaq 100 and Real U.S. 10-Year Yields This chart highlights the current divergence between real U.S. 10-year yields and the Russell 2000 relative to the Nasdaq 100. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

Discretionary vs. Systematic Equity Positioning

Discretionary vs. Systematic Equity Positioning There is a wide divergence between systematic equity positioning at 29th percentile and discretionary equity positioning at 85th percentile. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

Corporate Profits After Tax vs. S&P 500

Corporate Profits After Tax vs. S&P 500 Do valuations still matter? The current divergence between the S&P 500 and corporate profits after tax is the widest on record. Image: Real Investment Advice

S&P 500 EPS vs. U.S. NIPA Corporate Profits

S&P 500 EPS vs. U.S. NIPA Corporate Profits This chart puts into perspective the wide divergence between S&P 500 EPS and U.S. NIPA corporate profits. Image: BofA Research Investment Committee