Global Political Uncertainty Index vs. VIX

Global Political Uncertainty Index vs. VIX This chart shows the wide divergence between the Global Political Uncertainty Index and VIX since 2015. More volatility ahead? Image: Legg Mason

U.S. Economy vs. Asset Prices

U.S. Economy vs. Asset Prices Persistent low interest rates could explain the wide divergence between real economy prices and asset prices, over the past decade. Image: Charles Schwab

Gold vs. Fed Funds Futures

Gold vs. Fed Funds Futures Chart showing the current divergence between gold and the implied Fed funds rate. Image: Longview Economics

Leverage in the U.S.: Households and Corporations

Leverage in the U.S.: Households and Corporations This chart shows the divergence between U.S. non-financial corporations leverage and households leverage. U.S. corporation debt reached a record level of $10.12tn. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond

U.S. Corporate Profits and 10Y-3M Yield Curve

U.S. Corporate Profits and 10Y-3M Yield Curve While the divergence between large-cap profits and the rest of the economy is the widest on record, the steepening yield curve suggests an earnings rebound. Image: BofA Global Research

U.S. Corporate CCC-Rated Bonds Diverge During Trade War

U.S. Corporate CCC-Rated Bonds Diverge During Trade War As the chart suggests, CCC-rated bonds are not the canary in the coal mine. The divergence in option-adjusted spreads between CCCs and higher-rated issues reflects the impact of the US-China trade war. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC

U.S. Corporate Profits vs. S&P 500 EPS

U.S. Corporate Profits vs. S&P 500 EPS The current divergence between large-cap profits and the rest of the economy is the widest on record. It is possible to close the gap “down” (recession) or “up” (reflation). Image: BofA Global Research

U.S. Cyclicals/Defensives vs. ISM Manufacturing PMI

U.S. Cyclicals/Defensives vs. ISM Manufacturing PMI Chart showing the large divergence between U.S. cyclicals/defensives and the ISM Manufacturing PMI. Eventually, the gap should close soon. Image: Topdown Charts