U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator – S&P 500 Thursday, our Stock Market Bull & Bear Indicator was bullish well before the opening bell and the S&P 500 followed through, closing up 0.68%. Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S. stock market…
S&P 500 Returns After Fed Cuts Within 2% of an All-Time High Bears are losing ground as history leans bullish. Since 1980, when the Fed has eased policy while the S&P 500 traded within 2% of an all‑time high, the index has risen every time in the next 12 months, averaging a 14.2% gain Image:…
Valuation – S&P 500 NTM P/E At a forward P/E of 17 versus 23 for the benchmark, the equal-weight index shows what’s really happening: most stocks have stalled while a few giants do the lifting. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 vs. 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield The S&P 500 has diverged from bonds in December, largely ignoring the bond market selloff despite 10-year Treasury yields rising notably this month. Stocks seem more focused on solid earnings and the upbeat tone in tech than on rising rates. Image: Bloomberg
Forward P/E Ratio and Subsequent 5-Year Annualized Returns With U.S. stocks trading at stretched multiples, the era of easy money in equities seems to be fading, making patience the smarter play for the next five years. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management
Positions in S&P 500 Equity Futures by Asset Managers Rising bets in U.S. equity futures point to a risk‑on shift among asset managers, fueled by optimism over resilient growth, easier policy, and solid earnings into 2026. Image: J.P. Morgan
U.S. Household Equity Ownership vs. S&P 500 Index U.S. households have never been this heavily invested in stocks. The higher the concentration, the greater the risk that a market pullback hits both confidence and consumption, reversing wealth effects. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Returns After Seven Month Win Streaks Seven winning months in a row? Since 1950, the S&P 500 has pulled that off 16 times and history says momentum like this rarely cools: nine out of ten times, the rally kept rolling over the next 6 months, posting an average 7% gain. Image: Carson Investment…
S&P 500 Weekly Announced Buybacks S&P 500 buyback announcements have cooled lately, but most analysts see it as a breather after record highs rather than the start of something more serious. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 and Fed Funds Target Rate When the Fed cuts rates outside of a recession, U.S. stocks typically perform well. However, a perceived “too dovish” cut, signaling excessive economic worry, could disrupt the ongoing year-end stock rally. Image: Bloomberg
MOVE Index vs. S&P 500 S&P 500 performance tends to move in step with interest rate swings. When rate uncertainty builds, investors recalibrate risk, and volatility often follows. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation