Net Bullish Sentiment vs. S&P 500 Index Investor sentiment has improved significantly since the April market turmoil, driven by trade-related optimism, but it has yet to reach the extreme bullishness that typically signals market peaks. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Average Return After a Down Day The year 2025 stands out for the S&P 500, especially because of its resilience following daily declines. Since January, it has rebounded by an average of 0.32% the day after a drop, underscoring its strong ability to recover quickly. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Return Around First Fed Cut After Being on Hold for 6+ Months Historically, U.S. stocks often deliver strong returns in the 12 months after the Fed resumes cutting rates, particularly when economic growth continues. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Returns During Earnings Seasons During earnings season, the S&P 500 usually rallies, delivering a median return of 2.0% in the first four weeks, fueled by positive earnings surprises that strengthen investor confidence. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 and Number of Days Above 20-Day Moving Average While the S&P 500’s extended period above its 20-day moving average signals strong momentum, historical patterns and technical indicators point to a potential pullback or consolidation ahead. Image: SubuTrade
Indexed S&P 500 Return – Market Hours vs. Overnight Following the April market turmoil, most of the rally has happened during regular U.S. trading hours, with overnight returns remaining relatively muted. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Distribution of Strategist Forecats for S&P 500 Year-End 2025 Index Level Goldman Sachs’ 6600 year-end target for the S&P 500 reflects a confident view on the market’s trajectory, driven by expected Fed easing and strong large-cap fundamentals, positioning it near the top of Wall Street forecasts for 2025. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Average Strategist Year-End S&P 500 Forecast Despite trade-related uncertainties, Wall Street’s leading firms remain confident in the S&P 500’s further gains through 2025, driven by strong corporate earnings, operational resilience, and accommodative monetary policy prospects. Image: Bloomberg
S&P 500 and NAAIM Index Above 97 Active investment managers are notorious for buying equities near market tops and selling near market bottoms. Last week, their equity allocation surged to 99.30, a level typically seen near short-term market peaks. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Returns After New All-Time Highs Since 1990, despite periods of volatility, the S&P 500 has typically continued rising after new all-time highs, with a median 12-month gain of 13.5% and positive returns more than 82% of the time. Image: Carson Investment Research
Buybacks – Announced Share Repurchases for S&P 500 Companies In 2025, U.S. companies are announcing record share buybacks, with repurchases projected to exceed $1 trillion—a move designed to boost stock prices, strengthen financial indicators, and instill confidence in investors. Image: J.P. Morgan