S&P 500 Win Streaks the Month of July For 10 straight years, the S&P 500 has gained in July—an impressive record. Historically, July is the best month for stocks in post-election years. Another gain this July would tie the longest winning streak for the month. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Index The S&P 500’s near-overbought technical condition raises the likelihood of short-term volatility or a consolidation phase as the market absorbs recent gains. Image: Bloomberg
S&P 500 Index and Percent of Members Above 200-Day Moving Average The S&P 500 nears its all-time high, but without improved breadth and broader sector participation, the market risks a correction. Rising indexes amid weak breadth often mark an inflection point, hinting at possible market weakness ahead. Image: Bloomberg
Seasonality – S&P 500 Index Average Monthly Returns Bulls have reason to smile: historically, July has been the best month in post-election years and over the past 20 years. This suggests there is further upside potential ahead. Image: Carson Investment Research
Equity Market Concentration – Market Capitalization of 10 Largest Companies as Share of S&P 500 Total The top 10 stocks in the S&P 500 hold a disproportionately large share of the index weight relative to their earnings, which increases risks related to volatility, diversification, and sector exposure. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Valuation – S&P 500 Forward Price-to-Earnings The S&P 500 is trading at 22 times expected earnings over the next year, 35% above its 20-year average. These elevated valuations are partly justified by expectations of strong forward earnings growth. Image: Bloomberg
S&P 500 Risk-Adjusted Returns The S&P 500’s risk-adjusted return in 2025 has been disappointing so far, reflecting a challenging market environment characterized by increased volatility and lower-than-average returns. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance After Green in Both May and June Since 1988, when the S&P 500 gains in both May and June—a rare bullish sign—the rest of the year rose 15 of 16 times, averaging 8.8% gains, indicating strong momentum and positive investor sentiment for the year’s second half. Image: Carson Investment Research
Truck Tonnage vs. S&P 500 Index The Truck Tonnage Index decreased by 0.1% in May. Trucks represent 72.7% of U.S. freight and serve as a barometer of the U.S. economy. This chart shows that, historically, the U.S. stock market tends to increase in line with the physical size and expansion of the U.S. economy (R²…
S&P 500 Index and Technical Score The U.S. stock market, with a reading of 81.85, has entered overbought territory—usually a sign of excessive buying pressure—and may be due for some price consolidation soon. Image: Real Investment Advice
Seasonality – S&P 500 Index Returns in June Historically, the U.S. stock market often weakens—and even posts negative returns—in the latter half of June. Could this time be different? Image: Carson Investment Research