Insider Transactions Ratio
Insider Transactions Ratio A sense of caution prevails among corporate insiders as the Insider Transactions Ratio has returned to bearish territory. Image: Barron’s
Insider Transactions Ratio A sense of caution prevails among corporate insiders as the Insider Transactions Ratio has returned to bearish territory. Image: Barron’s
S&P 500 Ratio to 1-Year MA vs. S&P 500 EPS S&P 500 market pricing broadly aligns with Deutsche Bank’s Q2 earnings growth forecast. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Valuation – S&P 500 12-Month Forward P/E Ratio The S&P 500’s forward P/E ratio of 20x places it above historical averages, reinforcing the view that current valuations are not historically cheap. Image: The Daily Shot
Equity Market Concentration – Market Capitalization of 10 Largest Companies as Share of S&P 500 Total Concerns persist about excessive concentration, as the top 10 stocks in the S&P 500 hold a significantly larger weight in the index than their share of earnings would suggest. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Forward P/E Ratio and Subsequent 5-Year Annualized Returns Considering the valuation of the U.S. stock market, investors may need to adjust their expectations for equity returns, which are likely to be lower in the coming five years. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management
Volatility – U.S. Options Expiration The expiration of $2.6tn in options notional may lead to increased market volatility and price movements, driven by heightened trading activity, shifts in trader sentiment, and the mechanics in option exercise and settlement. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Valuation – Shiller Cyclically Adjusted Price/Earnings Ratio Higher inflation and lower corporate profitability structurally undermine the sustainability of U.S. equity valuations. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Stock Market Valuations – Combined P/E Ratio High P/E ratios in U.S. tech stocks are a double-edged sword: they reflect both the sector’s growth potential and the risks of overvaluation driven by investor optimism. Image: Topdown Charts
Valuation – PE10 Ratio USA vs. Rest of the World Investors seeking diversification and long-term growth may prefer emerging markets and non-U.S. developed markets over U.S. stocks due to their attractive valuations. Image: Topdown Charts
S&P 500 Performance from Inauguration Day While the S&P 500 has historically performed well in post-inauguration periods, the current market situation markedly deviates from this trend. Image: Deutsche Bank
Growth Investment Ratio of U.S. vs. Global Markets U.S. exceptionalism is expected to persist, even as the S&P 500 has underperformed year-to-date. The Growth Investment Ratio in the U.S. stands at 42%, compared to 26% in the rest of the world, with the gap steadily widening in recent years. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research