U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index vs. U.S. 30-Year Mortgage Rate YoY Change The U.S. 30-year mortgage rate YoY change tends to lead the U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index by 19 months. Image: UnderOrion and Macrobond
Mortgage Rates – Bankrate 30-Year Mortgage Rate Historically, rising mortgage rates tend to cool the real estate market. Image: BofA Global Research
U.S. Mortgage Rates vs. House Price Growth (Leading Indicator) Historically, rising mortgage rates tend to cool house prices. Image: Macrobond
U.S. 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates With Treasury yields rising, are ultra-low mortgage rates over? Image: BofA Global Research
U.S. Housing Market and 30-Year Mortgage Rate Mortgage rates hit new low, contributed to the boom in the U.S. housing market. Image: BCA Research
U.S. 30-Year Mortgage Rates vs. 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield U.S. 30-year mortgage rates have fallen to record low, but remain elevated relative to the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Housing – U.S. Existing Home Sales and 30-Year Mortgage Rate This chart shows the correlation between U.S. existing home sales and the 30-year mortgage rate (inverted), and suggests further improvements in sales. Image : Piper Sandler Companies
U.S. Mortgage Rates and New Home Sales The decline in mortgage rates has given a strong boost to new home sales. Image: Macrobond
U.S. Monthly Average 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Keep in mind that mortgage costs are influenced by the 10-year Treasury yield. 30-year mortgage rates = 1.739 x (10-year treasury yield)² + 0.7755 x (10-year treasury yield) + 0.0227(R² = 0.9787) You may also like “30-Year Mortgage Rates vs. 10-Year Treasury Yield.” Image: Leonard Kiefer
30-Year Mortgage Rates vs. 10-Year Treasury Yield There is a very high correlation between the 30-year mortgage rates and the 10-year treasury yield 30-year mortgage rates = 1.739 x (10-year treasury yield)² + 0.7755 x (10-year treasury yield) + 0.0227 R² = 0.9787 Image: Calculated Risk
US Long-Term Mortgage Rates Decline: 30-Year Average 4.10% & 15-Year Average 3.57% Why US long-term mortgage rates decline? Mortgage costs are influenced by the 10-year Treasury yield which was lower this week, because the trade war between the United States and China pushes investors moving money from stocks to bonds. Bond yields fall as prices rise.…