S&P 500 Valuation and Buffett Indicator – Inflation-Adjusted Market Capitalization to GDP Ratio The Buffett’s market indicator is at all-time highs. “The four most dangerous words in investing are: this time it’s different.” —John Templeton Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Valuation – Blended P/E Ratio and Equity Risk Premium Should investors take a cautious approach to U.S. equities as the S&P 500’s P/E ratio remains elevated? Are investors compensated enough for the risk of owning U.S. equities rather than bonds? Image: Topdown Charts
S&P 500 Valuation Dispersion of Forward P/E vs. Relative Performance of Russell 1000 Growth over Value Valuations dispersion remains at high levels and is 42% above its long-term median. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
S&P 500 Valuation Matrix (12-Month Forward EPS and P/E Multiple) This matrix puts the valuation of the S&P 500 into perspective. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
S&P 500 Valuation vs. History S&P 500 valuation metrics remain elevated by historical standards. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
VIX (Volatility Index) vs. S&P 500 Valuation The S&P 500’s valuation tends to be higher when the VIX declines sharply. Image: Jeroen Blokland
Estimated S&P 500 Valuation Depending on Election Outcome According to Goldman Sachs, a Democratic sweep could lift the S&P 500 Index to 3400 in the near-term, and to 3800 in mid-2021. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Valuation – Average 12m Fwd P/E and Y/Y Headline Inflation Chart suggesting that rising inflation is good for P/E until inflation exceeds 3%. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Valuation Dispersion on Forward P/E When valuation dispersion was this high, value stocks tended to outperform growth stocks. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
S&P 500 Valuations S&P 500 valuations are elevated, as the Shiller P/E and forward P/E ratios remain at high level. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research