S&P 500 Valuation Metrics

S&P 500 Valuation Metrics While the current forward P/E ratio of 21.6x for the S&P 500 is high by historical standards, it has moderated somewhat from its recent highs. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 Valuation – Shiller’s Cyclically-Adjusted Price-To-Earnings (CAPE) Ratio

S&P 500 Valuation – Shiller’s Cyclically-Adjusted Price-To-Earnings (CAPE) Ratio The Shiller CAPE ratio currently exceeds historical norms. While valuation metrics aren’t reliable timing tools, investors should be aware that prolonged periods of high valuations typically lead to lower future returns. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

S&P 500 Valuations

S&P 500 Valuations According to a macro model developed by Goldman Sachs, U.S. equities are suggested to be overvalued by more than 40%, raising concerns among market participants about long-term sustainability and future market corrections. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 Valuation Multiples

S&P 500 Valuation Multiples Despite the U.S. stock market’s robust performance, the growing gap between earnings growth and price increases has inflated valuations to potentially unsustainable levels, warranting caution based on historical trends. Image: Real Investment Advice

S&P 500 Valuation – Real Market Capitalization to Real GDP Ratio

S&P 500 Valuation – Real Market Capitalization to Real GDP Ratio The inflation-adjusted market capitalization to GDP ratio is a valuable tool to evaluate the U.S. stock market’s valuation. The high current ratio implies a potential overvaluation. Image: Real Investment Advice

S&P 500 Valuation Matrix (12-Month Forward EPS and P/E Multiple)

S&P 500 Valuation Matrix (12-Month Forward EPS and P/E Multiple) According to Morgan Stanley, U.S. equity market gains in 2024 may stall due to high forward multiples and ambitious earnings forecasts for the next 12 months. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

S&P 500 Valuations

S&P 500 Valuations While high valuations can persist, investors should be aware of the potential for lower future returns when valuations remain elevated for an extended period. Image: Topdown Charts

S&P 500 Valuations – Combined P/E Ratio and Equity Risk Premium

S&P 500 Valuations – Combined P/E Ratio and Equity Risk Premium Given the S&P 500’s high P/E ratio, should investors be cautious about U.S. equities? And do they receive adequate compensation for the risk associated with owning U.S. equities rather than bonds? Image: Topdown Charts

S&P 500 Valuation Multiples

S&P 500 Valuation Multiples S&P 500 valuation multiples remain stretched and well above averages. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research