Bank Reserves and the U.S. Dollar
Bank Reserves and the U.S. Dollar This interesting chart shows the correlation between excess reserves held by banks at the Fed and the U.S. dollar. Picture source: Financial Times
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Bank Reserves Held at the Fed
Bank Reserves Held at the Fed Nice chart showing that overall deposits at the Fed from banks have fallen over the past year. Picture source: Reuters
China – Required Reserve Ratio vs. M1 Money Supply Growth
China – Required Reserve Ratio vs. M1 Money Supply Growth The People’s Bank of China slashed the reserve requirement ratio for most financial institutions, but M1 money supply growth is currently near the lowest. This is not good news for GDP growth. Picture source: Jeroen Blokland
Total Allocated Exchange Reserves by Currency
Total Allocated Exchange Reserves by Currency The U.S. dollar represents 61% of all central bank foreign reserves. And the total value of all currencies held in foreign exchange reserves is almost $11 trillion. Picture source: howmuch.net
Delinquency Rate of Student Loans since 2003
Delinquency Rate of Student Loans since 2003 The delinquency rate of student loans is higher than credit card delinquency, auto loans and mortgages. The main reason is that the interest rate on student loans can be very high. Picture source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Atlanta Fed GDPNow U.S. Real GDP Estimate
Atlanta Fed GDPNow U.S. Real GDP Estimate The GDPNow model estimate for U.S. real GDP growth is 1.8% for 2019:Q3 as of October 16, 2019. Picture source: Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
Philly Fed Leading Index and Recession
Philly Fed Leading Index and Recession The Philly Fed Leading Index for the United States suggests that the U.S. economy is still in expansion mode over the next 6 months. Picture source: Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Probability of U.S. Recession Calculated from the Yield Curve
Probability of U.S. Recession Calculated from the Yield Curve The probability of U.S. recession over the next 12 months, calculated from the yield curve, decreased to 37.9%. Picture source: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Who Owns Different Countries’ Government Bonds?
Who Owns Different Countries’ Government Bonds? About 70% of the U.S. national debt is owned by domestic government, institutions investors and the Federal Reserve. Picture source: Deutsche Bank Global Research
Probability of US Recession Predicted by Treasury Spread
Probability of US Recession Predicted by Treasury Spread Probability of US recession in the next 12 months: 31.48% Picture source: Federal Reserve Bank of New York
