May 26 2023
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Probability of U.S. Recession Calculated from the Yield Curve
The probability of a U.S. recession in 12 months, calculated from the yield curve, stands at 79.3% in May.
Image: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
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The probability of a U.S. recession in 12 months, calculated from the yield curve, stands at 79.3% in May.
Image: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland